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Hi everyone

Welcome to the  Kempton Park Nut !

KP Nut for short is the blog site for a host of tips, news and events at one of the UKs top horse racing tracks. Kempton Park.

My name is Colin Hord and I’ve been watching and betting on horse racing for over 30 years . I’ve been going to Kempton Park regularly since it became an All Weather track. I enjoy AW racing  and I hope by reading this you will share my enthusiasm for the racing there.

The next meeting is not for a few weeks so check back soon for a few selections and then a review of the racing I am sure there will be a few that caught my eye.

Good luck with your betting in the meantime.

Colin

 

First blog post

Kempton Park 6th March 2019

Selection
4.55 Matterhorn 1 8/11F 0.7272727
5.30 Runaicoht 9 25/1 -1
6.00 I’m Available 1 6/1 6
6.30 Majestic Dawn 2 3/1 -1
7.00  Target Zone 3 4/1 -1
7.30  Global Tango 4 8/1 -1
8.00 Secret Potion 3 9/1 -1
8.30 Maximum Power 6 11/8 F -1
0.7272727
Next Best
4.55 Nonios 3 14/1 -1
5.30 Purple Paddy 3 100/30 -1
6.00 Roma Bamgkok 6 15/8 -1
6.30 Don Jupp 6 Ev -1
7.00 Jahbath 1 8/13 F 0.6153846
7.30 Compass Scooby 10 16/1 -1
8.00 Dark Magic 5 8/1 -1
8.30 Miracle Garden 1 9/4 2.25
-3.134615

 

 

 

 

Plenty of decent action tonight, plenty of seconds last week so lets see if we can find a few winners this week.

4.55 Class 2 event over 10f and looks a great contest with 4 last time winners with 2 of them going for 5 timers. All have decent speed and RPR ratings which indicates this will be close, a case can be made for Jamie Spencer’s mount who needs a better pace to run at and was apprentice ridden the last two occasions. However with the Johnston team in fine form I am going with Matterhorn to win again, he recorded the best AW TS of all these at Chelmsford but has never run here.

Selection Matterhorn Next Best Nonios

5.30 Big change in class from the last race with a class 7 event, two last time winners at the top of the handicap, Purple Paddy won a class 6 event easily  last time over CD has to be feared now in a class 7 goes up 5lb. However the one I am going to take a chance on is Runaicoht who hasn’t shown a lot recently but drops to a class 7 where he is 1/3 with the other runs having been placed he is also now 3lbs below his last winning mark and with Oisin Murphy aboard.

Selection Runaicoht Next Best Purple Paddy

6.00 I’m Available showed some promise on debut at Kempton and then got beaten when favourite (Buick rode) next time at Lingfield here’s hoping that the return to the Sunbury track will spark a little improvement. Roma Bangkok (Marco Botti) was a shock winner at Chelmsford and recorded a decent time one definitely to keep the right side of.

Selection I’m Available Next Best Roma Bangkok

6.30 This division doesn’t look like as clear cut as the first, Don Jupp is also trained by Marco Botti and won well here easily when a well back favourite. However with the 7lb penalty the one that is taken to oppose it is Majestic Dawn who is trained by Paul Cole, ran well at Chelmsford when beaten by a previous winner should come on for that run.

Selection Majestic Dawn Next Best Don Jupp

7.00 A Class 2 Conditions race won by Gronkowski last time, which I believe gets an entry into the Kentucky Derby, this race has an odd feel for me with no in form horse on show and plenty with question marks. For that reason I am going to select Target Zone who won a maiden here earlier in the year in a decent time, this looks one that could improve. I am always suspcious of fast times at Southwell but Jahbarth won well there last time an obvious danger.

Selection Target Zone Next Best Jahbath

7.30 The draw may be of significance here and Global Tango has been running better than the form figures suggest and has been close to the finish on the last two runs, the handicapper has dropped him 2lbs for that too so that will help, drawn 2 as well.  Compass Scooby and In The Red are both drawn wide, the former is 2nd off a layoff and Oisin Murphy rides again In The Red recorded a good time last time. I will make Compass Scooby the next best.

Selection Global Tango Next Best Compass Scooby

8.00 Typical Kempton fare for the last two events, no last time winners but this still looks competitive, Dean Ivory’s Dark Magic looked unlucky last time with Adam Kirby getting touched off by a short head, he rides again and hope he make amends. However the selection is Secret Potion who has been up and down in trip recently, form doesn’t look great but a combination of an in form trainer and a decent draw could make this the winner.

Selection Secret Potion Next Best Dark Magic

8.30 This doesn’t look like a race to get too involved with however if push comes to shove and you are desperate for a bet, Maximum Power was the closest to the line last time beaten 3/4 length here in February has a reasonable draw too. Also drawn inside is Miracle Garden and with Tom Marquand on for Mark Usher this appeals more than some of the others.

Selection Maximum Power Next Best Miracle Garden

 

 

 

Kempton Park 27th February 2019

Two winners and plenty of seconds… if only  !

Kempton 27/2/19
Selection
4.55 Grandee Daisy 2 9/1 -1
5.30 Magic In The Making 2 3/1 -1
6.00 Daring Guest 8 9/2 -1
6.30 Verdana Blue 2 1/3 F -1
7.00 Intrepidly 9 11/4 F -1
7.30 Singing The Blues 1 2/1 2
8.00 Elusif 1 9/4 F 2.25
8.30 Stand N Deliver 2 5/1 -1
-1.75
Next Best
4.55 Not So Shy 9 10/1 -1
5.30 Monarch Maid 6 5/1 -1
6.00 Kyllukey 4 3/1 F -1
6.30 Twist 5 7/1 -1
7.00 Enzemble 4 7/1 -1
7.30 Rail Dancer 2 5/1 -1
8.00 Hungarian Rhapsody 10 7/2 -1
8.30 Caledonia Laird 8 16/1 -1
-8

Plenty of runners as quite a few trainers seem to be boycotting the ARC tracks. Eight races too so lets get down to it

4.55 There are first time blinkers, visors and pieces here ! and plenty of distance changes as trainers struggle to find which is the optimum trip for their charges. Quite a few can be given chances and the two that top my list are Grandee Daisy and Not So Shy. Grandee Daisy won here back in October quite easily that day, not so well drawn tonight but has a reasonable profile now back on this CD.  Not So Shy has Cieran Fallon aboard, he is going great guns at the moment.  Ran well over 6f last time.

Selection Grandee Daisy Next Best Not So Shy

5.30 Not many taking the eye here and the two that do are Magic In The Making and Monarch Maid. Magic In The Making seems to prefer Chelmsford but has only run here twice and was placed on one occasion, well fancied the last few runs should go well here again. Monarch Maid ran well here from a wide draw, drawn 5 tonight so expect a better run.

Selection Magic In The Making Next Best Monarch Maid

6.00 Luke Morris selects Daring Guest he was declared for two , that will be the selection after some decent efforts after joining Tom Clover however the handicap mark keeps creeping up and is drawn 8.  Kyllukey is drawn in box 1 and has Franny Norton aboard he can get a horse out in front when needed and takes over from a 5lb claimer after an ordinary run at Southwell who was BF the last time he raced here on seasonal debut in January.

Selection Daring Guest Next Best Kyllukey

6.30 You would be forgiven if you thought the racecard had got the wrong race meeting when looking at this race as it is full of hurdlers who are looking for a run out probably due to the dry weather. Not a lot of flat form in evidence, Luke Morris rides Verdana Blue who has a 101 RPR that looks much better than most of these. Next Best is Adam Kirby’s   Twist who also comes from the Nicky Henderson yard.

Selection Verdana Blue Next Best Twist

7.00 No surprise for regular readers to see that Adam Kirby rides this selection, got beaten on the line, last time here in a similar race by Family Fortunes goes up 3lbs for that but should be able make amends tonight.  They were 2 lengths clear of the third – Enzemble and I will put that up as the next best as this looks reasonable form.

Selection Intrepidly Next Best Enzemble

7.30 An interesting race, however Singing The Blues won an Amateurs rider race at Wolves, was eased down at the line so should be capable of more. The second runs here and it is possible for Boycie to make amends. However as the next best it has to be Rail Dancer who goes really well here and ran a reasonable race, Adam Kirby takes over from Liam Jones which is a big plus.

Selection Singing The Blues Next Best Rail Dancer

8.00 This race has 3 last time winners and these are the ones that appeal the most, Elusif had the visor  removed and adopted front running tactics last time, Hollie Doyle keeps the ride so hoping that similar tactics will be employed tonight, visor is back on. Hungarian Rhapsody has been well backed each time he has run and finally came up with the goods last time at Wolverhampton a lightly raced horse could well improve again and overcome the 3lb rise.

Selection Elusif Next Best Hungarian Rhapsody

8.30 This racae appears to be a little more open than Division I, only the one last time winner, Caledonia Laird  which Georgina Dobie rode to success in an apprentice race last time up 3lbs for that and she keeps the ride that will be my Next Best. The one that I am interested here is Stand N Deliver, however the Cox stable is in poor form of late 0/14 in the last 14 days and only 3 winners from the last 50 runners, it did run well last time and just got pipped, this lightly raced gelding is only having his 6th start tonight.

Selection Stand N Deliver Next Best Caledonia Laird

 

 

 

Kempton Park 16th February 2019

 

Kempton 16/2/19
Selection
4.40 Dahawi 1 4/6 F 0.666667
5.15 Charlie Arthur 6 7/2 -1
5.45 Sir Prize 4 2/1 F -1
6.15 Little Palaver 6 10/1 -1
6.45 Roman Spinner 4 9/2 -1
7.15 Grey Britain 3 Ev F -1
7.45 Casper The Cub 2 2/1 F -1
-5.33333
Next Best
4.40 Fury And Fire 5 -1
5.15 Alicia Darcey 3 5/2 -1
5.45 Smiley Bagel 10 16/1 -1
6.15 Choice Encounter 4 5/2 JF -1
6.45 Happy Escape 10 10/1 -1
7.15 Spark Plug 2 9/2 -1
7.45 Count Calabash 1 7/2 3.5
-2.5

 

 

 

 

A bumper 8 race card, no shortage of action today that’s for sure. Here is my take on the races at Kempton tonight

4.40 Dahawi won only be a short head at Chelmsford, although  it often pays to oppose horses in Novice racing with a penalty however this looks solid form.  Next best goes to Fury And Fire who ran OK on debut at Lingfield and with a decent draw here may well fill one of the places.

Selection Dahawi  Next Best Fury And Fire

5.15 This division has not got a stand out selection like the first, Charlie Arthur was made favourite on debut here last month ran OK but will certainly come on for the run,  Richard Hughes trains.  The other a case can be made for is Alicia Darcey who has some decent form but has been off since last July so providing fit could well show.

Selection Charlie Arthur Next Best Alicia Darcey

5.45 Sir Prize stands out here, lightly raced and two good wins beating Ilhabela Fact last time who has gone on to win since goes up 4lbs and that may be an underestimate.  The other I will be considering is Smiley Bagel who goes well here, ran well after a lay off but appeared to bounce next time, the trainer Ed Walker now uses Richard Kingscote who takes over from a 7lb claimer.

Selection Sir Prize Next Best Smiley Bagel

6.15 Only the 7 go to post here but quite a few look to have a reasonable chance, Hollie Doyle rides Choice Encounter who looks for his hat-trick, has only gone up a pound after a nse win over CD in January, that looks a good selection but I am going to put up Little Palaver who is regularly ridden by Amelia Glass who claims 7, she won here the time before last but wasn’t well drawn well in a 10 runner race at Lingfield when finishing 4th but only 1 3/4 lengths behind.

Selection Little Palaver Next Best Choice Encounter

6.45  Tight fillies handicap over 6f, those at the bottom of the handicap make the most appeal and it is Roman Spinner who gets the vote after 2 very good efforts here, Luke Morris keeps the ride, she is 3/8 here and placed 5 of those times. The other to consider is Happy Escape who was fancied to make the hat-trick but went down by a length that was at Lingfield so back at Kempton should have a better chance, Tom Marquand takes over.

Selection Roman Spinner Next Best Happy Escape

7.15 This is a AW Championship qualifier and while there are only 6 runners the two I have concentrated on are in cracking form. Grey Britain ran really well last time beating Watersmeet ran only really well at Lingfield in a similar type of event.  Spark Plug is the next best who won a listed event here before Christmas yet to go over 2m but if he does stay this could well be the winner.

Selection Grey Britain Next Best Spark Plug

7.45 Another small field for a Class 2 event. Casper The Club won a host of races at the end of last year and this could well be in his sights after a poor run last time where the race was not run to suit. Count Calabash at the head of the handicap has some decent form too and ran just behind Casper The Club, the last run over 2m ended up a bit of speed duel.

Selection Casper The Cub Next Best Count Calabash

8.15 No Selection

 

Kempton Park 13th February 2019

Kempton 13/2/19
Selection
5.45 Ulster 1 8/11F 0.727273
6.15 Chloellie 2 2/1 F -1
6.45 Lee Roy 2 9/1 -1
7.15 Mee Too Nagasaki 5 2/1 F -1
7.45 Mere Anarchy 7 14/1 -1
-3.27273
Next Best
545 Ulster 1 8/11F 0.727273
6.15 Chica De La Noche 1 9/4 2.25
6.45 My Dear Friend 1 7/2 3.5
7.15 Ventura Blues 4 9/1 -1
7.45 Moon Of Baroda 4 6/4 F -1
4.477273

 

 

Were back !!! Great to see racing on again and pleased I can get to Kempton, with the 24 hour declarations I haven’t had so much time so here is my take on some of the races.

5.45 Hard to get away from Ulster in this novice race who ran with promise here last month winning easily with the promise of more to come, the remainder don’t look any thing special and it is hard to put up a next best here

Selection Ulster 

 

6.15 Interesting fillies handicap and two stand out Chloellie has a tremendous record here and I still remember Franny Norton taking over from Gina Mangan in a late jockey switch for Cholellie to win at 20/1 ! She has won here 4 more times out of 7 starts and this is the one for me. Chica De La Noche should go well again and seems always to find one better has a weight advantage (3lbs for 1 3/4 lengths) on Chloellie this time.  I will stick with the course specialist to find a bit more.

Selection Chloellie Next Best Chica De La Noche

6.45 A 3yr old handicap and plenty make their handicap debuts, I am going to concentrate on those with handicap form and Lee Roy  is the one here with some reasonable form at Kempton which can be upgraded as both were from wide draws, the latest one recorded a good TS too. However the handicapper saw that too and raised him 4lbs. Ralph Beckett does well here and has My Dear Friend who ran here in a handicap after being gelded that was a good performance off a break and would expect some more to come.  Oisin Murphy rides.

Selection  Lee Roy Next Best My Dear Friend

7.15 Mile series handicap (Class 4) where Me Too Nagasaki made a seasonal debut at Southwell having been off the course for over a year. Has won here when the track was running slowly so this may just be what is needed.  Plenty of support for this one too. Alexandra Dunn runs two with Ventura Blues looking the pick, ran in a class 2 for her on stable debut so must be showing something at home as was out of the handicap. Now blinkered and her record with the blinds is 20% on a small sample but of note.   Runs off 75 today rather than the 81 when with Richard Hannon.

Selection Me Too Nagasaki Next Best Ventura Blues

7.45 2 miles for this Class 5 handicap and interesting to see Mere Anarchy running here again, last time seen here was in September 2017 with Dane O’Neill aboard a 33/1 winner that day proven over the trip could well be seen to have an advantage here.  Recent winner Moon Of Baroda will be the marker fancy and will probably take some beating but Mere Anarchy looks a reasonable bet at longer odds.

Selection Mere Anarchy Next Best Moon Of Baroda

 

 

Kempton Park 2nd February 2019

Kempton 2/2/19
4.45 Lion Hearted NR
5.15 Brandon 5 11/2 -1
5.45 Xtara 2 9/4 F -1
6.15 Cabarita 3 6/4F -1
6.45 Scofflaw 4 9/1 -1
7.15 Castleyons 4 6/1 -1
7.45 Ilhabela Fact 1 11/8 F 1.375
8.15 Embers Glow 7 4/1 -1
-4.625
Next Best
4.45 Dodgy Bob 3 3/1F -1
5.15 Global Spectrum 1 4/6 F 0.67
5.45 Probability 3 5/2 -1
6.15 Elisheba 5 5/1 -1
6.45 Shyron 5 10/1 -1
7.15 Diocletian 6 5/2 -1
7.45 Subliminal 5 9/2 -1
8.15 Rail Dancer 5 11/1 -1
-6.33

 

A Saturday night event at Kempton this week. Trying a different style of write up this week. Let’s hope there’s a few winners amongst them.

4.45 LION HEARTED is declared to run here however he won at Newcastle on Thursday and is declared at Wolverhampton on Friday. If he does run he looks in great form and clearly ahead of the handicapper and the one to beat, if not the race looks more open.  Dalness Express goes well over this course and distance and  has been placed in all his 4 CD runs. Star Attraction makes his second appearance for Tony Carroll and  may have needed the run last time. Dodgy Bob is thriving, drops to a Class 7 and should be able to run another good race after two excellent efforts at Wolverhampton, makes his Kempton debut.

Selection LION HEARTED Next Best Dodgy Bob

5.15 Easy last time winner Global Spectrum won here over CD for Gay Kelleway, he  has plenty to offer especially as Gerald Mosse comes to ride again However BRANDON for Marco Botti makes more appeal as he ran well last time, again over this  course and distance, comes off a lay off having been gelded in the summer, unlike Global Spectrum is unpenalised for that run. One making their debut that takes the eye is Clive Cox’s Sacred Warner and the second time runner Roger Charlton’s Chop Chop.

Selection BRANDON Next Best Global Spectrum

5.45 The top two in the weights are the ones to concentrate on, XTARA won here last time after being dropped in trip, and is now 2/4 over 6f, drawn well here too.  A chance has to be given to Probability, Archie Watson continues to go well this winter and this filly makes her handicap debut after a decent win in a maiden at Lingfield, looks like there is more to come. There are two other handicap debutants Zaula  and Distant Mirage who may outrun their odds.

Selection XTARA Next Best Probability

6.15 Some of the top trainers bring some potentially decent horses here which should make for an interesting race, the debutants that should have a market check are Elisheba who is a £200,000 guineas yearling from the John Gosden yard and Any Smiles from the Michael Bell yard.  Preference of those with form is CABARITA  who ran here and and lately at Newcastle both runs showed promise, his trainer Ralph Beckett does very well here.  Lucky Lou is drawn wide but Yimkim has the assistance of Oisin Murphy and ran well here from a wide draw previously.

Selection  CABARITA Next Best Elisheba

6.45 Plenty of possibilities here in a wide open race, recent winner Shyron picked up really well and came home in a good time when making a debut for Lee Carter, tonight he uses to Paddy Bradley to offset most of the 4lb rise. It is SCOFFLAW that looks the winner with Katherine Begley in the plate she is in great form and well worth her 5lb claim,  back to a mile too which appears to be his most suitable trip. Others to consider are Family Fortunes who is consistent and goes well here (2/8) and Divine Messenger who won easily beating Tamerlane here by 6 lengths back in January.

Selection SCOFFLAW Next Best Shyron

7.15 With only a handful of runners here a falsely run race is always the danger and  trying to predict how the race will unfold is half the battle. CASTLELYONS comes down in class after a valiant effort in a class 2 event here in January, that effort demonstrates he stays the 2 mile trip. At the other end of the handicap is Diocletian who looks to be the staying type after running  well in a Class 4 event also at Kempton. Oisin Murphy takes the ride which is always a plus in what could be a tactical race.  Adam Kirby takes over from a series of apprentices on Jabbaar and it will be interesting to see if he can finally get this geldings head over the line in first place after a series of placed efforts.

Selection CASTLELYONS Next Best Diocletian

7.45 Last time winner Houlton comes off a break and goes up in to a Class 5 event, Preference is for ILHABELA FACT who ran really well in defeat at Kempton  10 days ago Adam Kirby got pipped by an improver that day, the two knuckled down and battled hard to the line but ILHABELA FACT went down by a neck. This race looks winnable if he shows the same level of form.  Jamie Spencer is an eye catching ride for David Simcock on Rubensian how has CD form and should be better to suited to the 1m 4f. However the biggest danger to the selection is Simon Dow’s Subliminal who should be open to improvement on only his second handicap start, this trip appears to be more suitable, good chance.

Selection ILHABELA FACT Next Best Subliminal

8.15 This will revolve around EMBER’S GLOW who has been in good form recently winning 2 of his last 3 and a decent second in between, up another 3lbs but that should be able to be overcome in a field lacking any real depth. Bird For Life ran behind EMBER’S GLOW last win was  quite fancied that day and should go well again. Others to consider are Rail Dancer who is 10lbs below his last winning rating and goes well at this track (4/9) and Double Legend who was a beaten favourite last time and clearly has ability after two good runs in handicaps, lightly raced.

Selection EMBER’S GLOW Next Best Rail Dancer

Kempton Park 23rd January 2019

Kempton 23/1/19
4.40 Alligator 7 15/2 -1
5.15 Trapani 6 7/4 F -1
5.45 I’m Available 4 10/1 -1
6.15 Ballistic 1 3/1 3
6.45 Choice Enounter 1 11/4 F 2.75
7.15 Ilhabela Fact 2 15/8 F -1
7.45 Singing The Blue 6 5/2 F -1
8.15 Espresso Freddo 4 7/2 -1
-0.25
Next Best
4.40 Dalness Express 2 7/1 -1
5.15 Alpasu 3 13/2 -1
5.45 Songkran 1 4/1 4
6.15 Toffee Galore 7 11/8 F -1
6.45 National Glory 6 11/2 -1
7.15 Sir Prize 1 5/1 5
7.45 Embers Gold 1 3/1 3
8.15 Red Gunner 5 8/1 -1
7

 

 

 

Back to the usual Wednesday slot and a slightly later start too.

4.40 All Class 7 events are tricky and this is no exception, looking at the draw stats for the last year the inside boxes have a significant advantage, keeping these in focus I will put up Alligator who is drawn 1 and has some reasonable if not exceptional form drops to a Class 7 for the second time (last Feb was the last time). Poppy Bridgwater keeps the ride and should be a decent price. Dalness Express ran well last time Fergus Sweeney takes over onboard. Drawn 3 could be another to win at a decent price.

Selection Alligator Next Best Dalness Express

5.15 Just the 8 runners in this novice event and the Gosden runner Trapani is the obvious one here, no world beater but may just be better than these. Archie Watson is going well and shows a small profit at Kempton and has a decent strike rate with horses first time out. I am interested in Alpasu although the first time tongue tie and wind operation are negatives.

Selection Trapani  Next Best Alpasu

5.45 Some very ordinary maidens here and will go with two unraced horses here, I’ve just noticed that George Strawbridge’s horses have shown a profit for the last 7 years although they don’t do so well at Kempton  this still looks a useful angle. I’m Available is his here. David Elsworth is another who is doing ok this winter and will pick his Songran not drawn ideally but David Probert is aboard.

Selection I’m Available Next Best Songran

6.15 Just 7 runners for those chasing the placepot will mean on 2 qualify and plenty here making their handicap debut. Ballistic has been great form and made his handicap debut in a class 2 event at Goodwood, capable of winning something like this and should go well. Toffee Galore is another from the Watson stable and is making her handicap debut some useful form in  novice and maiden events and was BF on two occasions, however handicapper will have seen the potential as well.

Selection Ballistic Next Best Toffee Galore

6.45 I have to admit that I didn’t stay to watch the amateur riders race on the 9th January but there are two here that come out of that race with what looks like useful form. The winner, Choice Encounter,  was well ridden by Brodie Hampson and I will put that up to win again over CD. The third was National Glory, both trained by Archie Watson who we have already noted is in excellent form and could well get a 1,2 here.

Selection Choice Encounter Next Best National Glory

7.15 Four last time winners here, a couple appeal but the one I am going with is Ilhabela Fact who ran over 2m and clearly didn’t stay so now back to 12f has to enter calculations. Recent winner Sir Prize is lightly raced  and looks the recent winner most likely to go in again.

Selection Ilhabela Fact Next Best Sir Prize

 

7.45 Typical Class 6 1m 1/2 race which looks competitive but is not that deep, in fact I could only look at two more closely, interestingly they also ran in the same race here last week.  My selection finished short head behind the second, Singing The Blues was the favourite then to good a lead and ran on they finished in a bit of  heap, Luke Morris takes over from Joey Haynes.  Just ahead of Singing The Blues was Ember’s Glow this also looked a useful effort and ran on nicely at the finish.

Selection Singing The Blues Next Best Ember’s Glow

8.15 Interesting Class 5 to conclude the evening where I am expecting a good run from Expresso Freddie, who returns to cheekpieces after the visor failed to spark an improvement, has been placed twice here and Adam Kirby is aboard he is 1/5 when riding. The other worth a second look is Red Gunner  (ex William Haggas)  had no run last time after being carried wide by a loose horse, has a decent draw and Luke Morris gets the ride has shown that he is capable of winning of winning a small race.

Selection Expresso Freddie Next Best Red Gunner

 

Kempton Park 18th January 2019

 

Kempton 18/1/19
Selection
4.10 Toni’s A Star 3 7/2 -1
4.45 Rock Bottom 2 9/2 -1
5.15 Mullarkey 1 8/1 8
5.45 Fume 3 4/1 -1
6.15 Spirit Warning 1 11/4 2.75
6.45 Given Choice 5 7/4 F -1
7.15 Nylon Speed 4 2/1 F -1
7.45 Le Menege Enchante 5 3/1 -1
4.75
Next Best
4.10 Sir Walter 8 8/1 -1
4.45 Swiss  Charm 6 6/1 -1
5.15 Tesorina 2 8/1 -1
5.45 Kingdom Of Dubai 4 7/2 -1
6.15 Kentucky Kingdom 4 10/11 F -1
6.45 Sunblazer 7 13/2 -1
7.15 New Agenda 8 3/1 -1
7.45 Nuzha 6 16/1 -1
-8

 

 

OK a little later than usual but here are the selections for Friday’s meeting, fingers crossed there are a few winners amongst them…

4.10  A 5f sprint on the inside course which massively favours horses drawn low infact so much that backing the horse drawn 1 has resulted in 25% ROI (15/97 wins/runs).  Today the horse drawn 1 is Toni’s A Star and recent form looks promising providing he can make use of the premier stall Poppy Bridgwater rides and claims 5lb. The other to look at is recent Southwell runner Sir Walter again ridden by an apprentice showed some useful form, will need to show this at Kempton so fingers crossed as it could be a reasonable price (drawn 3).

Selection:  Toni’s A Star  Next Best Sir Walter

4.45 Another 5f however only the 6 runners and so the draw is likely to be less important, going with the in form Rock Bottom who has won twice in his last three runs (well fancied to win the other). Second time in a handicap and looks on the upgrade. Swiss Chimes won at Southwell on his latest start and like Sir Walter if he can reproduce this at Kempton will be close up.

Selection Rock Bottom Next Best Swiss Charm

5.15 Not a race to get too carried away with some pretty poor animals running here but of the 3 that I shortlisted I will make Mullarkey my pick on the basis that he has shown some reasonable form lately and had a tricky draw the time before last. The other is Adam Kirby’s mount Tesorina who was beaten fav at Lingfield last time.  My third to look at was Runaiocht who does OK here and can often get placed.

Selection Mullarkey Next Best Tesorina

5.45 Novice Stakes and here Fume appeals the best, comes out of handicap company to run in a novice event, he was a disappointing favourite last time but has some good speed figures. Roger Varian has a likely improver in Kingdom Of Dubai and I make that the danger although cases can be made for some others with better RPRs.

Selection Fume Next Best Kingdom Of Dubai

 

6.15 Just the four runners so win only for placepot punters,  Andrew Balding’s Spirit Warning ran in a handicap for the first time in January over CD, looked promising then and this could be a reasonable mark. Kentucky Kingdom is from the Haggas yard and runs in a handicap for the first time has potential but I rate him second to Spirit Warning.

Selection Spirit Warning Next Best Kentucky Kingdom

6.45 A Class 2 miler here and with only 7 runners  the pace is likely to be lacking, a few try this trip for the first time and may well get home OK if they dawdle up front. Given Choice (watch your bets here there’s all Final Choice running) is one that is going up in trip. Won well last time over 14f  at Wolves,even when eased down still recorded a decent time. Sunblazer won around this time last year and now 5lb lower than that, needs to bounce back but has CD form, Adam Kirby a bonus.

Selection Given Choice Next Best Sunblazer

7.15 Good solid Class 5 12 runner handicap, quite a few are running on the AW after being hurdling or chasing. However Nylon Speed has won his last  two on the flat the latest was easily and does look well capable of winning a third.  Will put up Kirby again in the next best slot on the basis that New Agenda who goes well at KP can run well after recent hurdles success.

Selection Nylon Speed Next Best New Agenda

7.45 A Class 7 sprint over 6f to finish the card, not much form wise to look at however the recent winner (top weight) looks vunerable to me) Down in trip and 8lbs more to carry.  Le Menage Enchante got beaten a head last time at Chelmsford in a Class 6 , dropped to a  Class 7 now.   Nuzha has only won once (at Southwell) however the last run at Chelmsford albeit in a Class 7 showed some promise and worth considering in this modest event.

Selection Le Menage Enchante Next Best Nuzha