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This is the post excerpt.

Hi everyone

Welcome to the  Kempton Park Nut !

KP Nut for short is the blog site for a host of tips, news and events at one of the UKs top horse racing tracks. Kempton Park.

My name is Colin Hord and I’ve been watching and betting on horse racing for over 30 years . I’ve been going to Kempton Park regularly since it became an All Weather track. I enjoy AW racing  and I hope by reading this you will share my enthusiasm for the racing there.

The next meeting is not for a few weeks so check back soon for a few selections and then a review of the racing I am sure there will be a few that caught my eye.

Good luck with your betting in the meantime.

Colin

 

First blog post

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Kempton Park 11th November 2020

Kempton 11th November 2020

Plenty of novice races tonight so if you are doing a placepot bet with care !

16.00  Class 5  Nov Stakes 2 Yr  Old 7f

Last time winner Bullace sets the standard from the in form Beckett yard after winning on second start at Chelmsford by a neck. Others to look at are Borrowed Angel (Crisfords) who ran here in a slowly pace less affair and should improve for that. Nine Tails and Ventura Kingdom hail from yards that both like to bring debutants to Kempton and do well so a market check would be advisable. Big Boy Bobby was awarded a good RPR last time at Newbury although didn’t show much here first time out. I will pick those with the lowest draws.

Selection Bullace (7/2) Next Best  Nine Tails (5/1)

16.35  Class 5  Nov Stakes 3 Yr  Old + 7f

This division doesn’t appear to have quite as much depth and with only 3 debutants and can be discounted on FTO form. Rifleman from the J Gosden ran here the other week and was beaten by an odds on Godolphin runner so should make amends tonight. Million Reasons is the next best with decent run at Newcastle when attracting quite a bit of money to go off 6/1.  

Selection Rifleman (4/5) Next Best:  Million Reasons  (4/1)

17.05 Class 5 Fillies Novice Stakes 2 Yr Old  7f   

Electrical Storm had been off the track for close on a year when running last time at Newcastle, didn’t show much and went off 13/2 gets the visor for the first time tonight, just 11% SR for visored SBS runners. The two last time winners have both been off the track for some time, Crackling for 681 days and Desert Flyer 333 days, while both trainer’s have good records for 60+ day lay offs, caution should be applied to translating this to these length lay offs. Elmetto also has been off the track for 371 days finishing second on debut. Not a race to get too involved with but if push comes to shove, I would put Desert Flyer ahead of Elmetto

Selection Desert Flyer  (5/2)  Next Best Elmetto  (10/3)

17.35 Class 5 Fillies Novice Stakes 2 Yr Old  1m  

Urban Violet looks of interest here berthed in stall 2 having led for an all the way win last time at Newmarket on heavy ground. Khezaana ran well at Redcar but is drawn 11 and Glyndebourne also has chances on Chelmsford debut run behind Bullace.  C Appleby brings a newcomer in Desert Star but again drawn 13. Although still a maiden Cirrus could go well from stall 1.

Selection Urban Violet (7/2)  Next Best Cirrus (5/1)

18.05 Class 5 Fillies Novice Stakes 2 Yr Old  1m 

Companionship looks the one to oppose on the basis of stall 12, often W Haggas’s runners here are quite short price, whereas Final Applause is drawn 1 and wears the hood on debut (Appleby shows a profit for all his hooded runners). Fiesty from the Beckett yard looks the alternative after a run here over 7f.

Selection Final Applause (7/4)  Next Best Fiesty (3/1)  

18.35 Class 4 Handicap 3 Yr  Old +  1m

Fantasy Believer returns to the track where he last won, has shown two reasonable efforts at Newbury and more recently at Goodwood, interesting now back on the AW. Conscious has also won round here when trained by R Charlton didn’t show much last time at Chelmsford in a class 4. Stone Soldier has won over here on 1 start but that was 7f, be interesting to see how this one goes after a couple of runs at Redcar, only had 3 runs on the AW and read 191. Sparkling Olly is in good form as is trainer R Beckett up 4lbs for a hd second last time.

Selection Stone Soldier  (12/1) Next Best Sparkling Olly  (7/2)

19.30 Class 4 Nursery Handicap  2 Yr Old   6f 

The three at the bottom of the weights appeal most, Dewey River now has SDS aboard and should go well back at Kempton after getting stuck on the rail last time at Wolves, back to 6f too. Setantii Girl has been highly tried running in a Listed race at Newbury and a Class 1 event at Ayr, in between ran well in a Nursery at Pontefract.  Razor Glass looks promising after winning here last time again over 6f doesn’t look too badly weighted beating two horses off 80 and 84.

Selection Dewey River  (5/2) Next Best Razor Glass  (6/1)

19.35 Class 3 Handicap 3 Yr Old+   7f  

Plenty of pace about here, Diocles of Rome has been running recently on the  turf but goes well on the AW and especially here where form figures of 11127 (was rested after last run last season). From the inform R Beckett yard also combines well with Rob Hornby 22%.  For the next best Dyami won here in a maiden event, has bottom weight and a decent draw.

Selection Diocles of Rome  (5/1)  Next Best Dyami  (6/1)

20.05 Class 4  Handicap 3 Yr Old +  2m  

Imperium will not be much of a price but looks the likely winner won here on handicap debut off 70 and has progressed well, needs time in between races but should give a good account, W Buick rides. The alternative is Al Kout who has an eyecatching jockey booking.

Selection Imperium (11/8)  Next Best Al Kout (3/1)

Kempton Park 5th November 2020

Kempton Park 5th November 2020

The third meeting of the week at the Park here’s my take on some runners that should go well, as usual my idea of a value price in brackets.

4.25  Class 6  Nursery Handicap  2 Yr  Old  6f

Laura Coughlan has had her claim reduced to 5lbs and is riding well at present, she rides Bomb Squad again after her win last time at Redcar however Bomb Squad has only run on the AW at Lingfield and not shown much there. The other winner is Jazzy Socks who won at Newcastle last time, but the selection is Imperial Dawn who ran well here last time in a handicap for the Coles.  

Selection  Imperial Dawn (5/1) Next Best Jazzy Socks  (4/1)

16.55  Class 2 Handicap  3Yr Old +  6f

Four of these look worth closer examination Orgetorix a last time winner for R Beckett. Deputy drawn well for C Fellowes and showed promise last time, Oz Legend a H Palmer runner who does well here and Najeeba R Charlton who has a great record for first time runners.

Selection Deputy (6/1) Next Best:  Najeeba  (8/1)

17.30 Class 5 Fillies Novice Stakes 2 Yr Old  7f   

Wirko is the obvious starting point and is likely to be short in the betting especially as the stable have an excellent record here. Two outsiders Buxted Too and Crestwood both have trainers with reasonable record for debutants but the selection is First Light who runs for J Gosden who is 18% for first time starters

Selection First Light  (5/2)  Next Best Wirko (Evens)

18.00 Class 5 Fillies Novice Stakes 2 Yr Old  7f 

Another nursery and with 14 runners plenty of options, two have winning course form, Menai Bridge won here in good style and then disappointed at Nottingham.  Shady McGee is the other drops in grade today. Dark Motive is another of interest for in form R Beckett ran well on debut but was slow away next time, looks reasonably handicapped.

Selection Dark Motive (6/1) Next Best Menai Bridge (4/1)

18.30 Class 5 Handicap 3 Yr  Old +  1m

Just the nine runners here, three course winners, Lapidary, Stoneybark Creek and Biotic. However Commit No Nuisance ran well here last time first time in a handicap. Lapidary is also of interest but has only run the once over 8f and didn’t show a great deal but may be worth a second chance. There will be plenty of interest in War Leader who is lightly raced and showed good promise at Chelmsford having been previously trained by A O’Brian

Selection Commit No Nuisance  (7/1) Next Best War Leader   (3/1)

19.00 Class 5 Handicap 3 Yr  Old +  1m

Crimewave never got going last time at Lingfield but showed considerable promise here over this trip back in September, Jack Mitchell is back aboard too. Lady Eleanor is the other that has some interest and now going over a mile plus W Buick is riding.  

Selection Crimewave (5/1) Next Best Lady Eleanor (4/1)

19.30 Class 5 Handicap  3 Yr Old +   7f 

Likely market leaders Johnny Reb and American Entente look the most likely winners from a very ordinary field.  Last time winner Johnny Reb should go well again after leading all the way, drawn 1 today as well. The John Gosden runner runs in a handicap for the first time stable do well with these runners so make that the next best.  

Selection Johnny Reb  (7/2) Next Best American Entente (9/2)

19.45 Class 5 Handicap 3 Yr Old+   6f  

The last time Blazon ran at Kempton he won, however since then the form doesn’t read that well but with a 3/6 record here it is worth a look at decent odds. K Bailey is in good form and has a decent record at Kempton. Rydan is now 3lbs below his last winning mark and has also won at Kempton over this trip another that could go well. General Zoff was third here last time and SDS keeps the ride.   

Selection Blazon (10/1)  Next Best Rydan  (12/1)

20.30 Class 4 Amateurs Rider Handicap 3 Yr Old +  1m 4f 

Gas Monkey is a course winner over 8f but has won twice over this trip, its been a while since he has raced here Jan 19. Ran OK at Yarmouth over 14f time before that but ran no race last time at Yarmouth of Soft (has won on Soft). Also worth considering are Arabian King who put together a sequence at Southwell 4th here last time.  Sula Island ran well at 40/1 here last time. My Boy Sepoy is the other with Serena Brotherton aboard.

Selection Gas Monkey (8/1)  Next Best Sula Island (4/1)

Kempton Park 21st October 2020

Kempton Park 21st October 2020

Thought it about time to run through an evening racecard, let’s get stuck in and see what we can find. Plenty of novice stakes and only 3 handicaps which look tricky as ever. As a NAP I will put up Invincible Larne 7.45 could be the one to go off at decent odds.

16.10  Class 5 Novice Stakes 3  -5 Yr Old  1m 4f

According to the official ratings the three that should be looked at in detail are Galahad Threepwood (ran well at big prices at Chelmsford and Lingfield), Man Of Light (best was a fifth at Wolverhampton) and Noble Masquerade (has been running in class 2 and 3  turf handicaps).  I had Cloud Thunder marked down as well in when he ran inhandicaps so a little surprised to see another level stakes race as the form of the Newbury race (12/6/20) has worked out very well, good draw today too.  Others to note at Keane’s Kingdom (A Watson is in form) and FTO Ibiza (R Charlton good record with FT starters 11%.  

Selection Galahad Threepwood  (5/1) Next Best Ibiza  (7/2)

16.40  Class 6 Nursery Handicap 2 Yr Old  6f

Peerless is the obvious starting point with a last time win at Wolverhampton however that was over 5f (has been placed over 6f) and has a 6lb hike in the weights, drawn wide today too. Relative Choice raced here in September however had the 12 stall so that can be ignored, ran OK at Chelmsford but the next time at Wolves was drawn 11. Grey Sparkle is a FTH entry from C Hills who is in good form as is K O’Neill good FTH record is good too 4/22.        

 Selection Grey Sparkle (4/1) Next Best:  Relative Choice  (6/1)

17.15 Class 5 Fillies Novice Stakes 2 Yr Old  7f   

Half the field are unraced and include debutants from the Appleby, Palmer, Varian, Haggas and Johnston yards all who do well with FT 2 Year starters. C Appleby is 30% at Kempton for his FT 2 Yr olds and runs Alsephina. Of those with form Portfolio was beaten a neck here in September and was given a 97 RPR. Subtle Beauty ran well at Newmarket and ran that in a decent time in Soft ground.

Selection Alsephina  (4/1)  Next Best Portfolio (3/1)

17.45 Class 5 Fillies Novice Stakes 2 Yr Old  7f 

Less quality on show in this division although C Appleby has Looktotherainbow who ran at Chelmsford and Newmarket gained a decent RPR and TS last time. Allerby ran at Salisbury when 40/1 on debut finishing 14 lengths behind Lady Hayes. Isola Rossa could be of interest from those unraced she runs for the J  Fanshawe yard with O Murphy aboard, drawn wide however.

Selection Looktotherainbow (5/4) Next Best Isola Rossa (10/1)

18.15 Class 5 Novice Stakes 2 Yr  Old  7f 

Saeiqa has been running in some much better races than this, a Group 2 and a Listed race both at Ascot and should be hard to beat here.  Quintillus is of interest after a decent effort at Newmarket last month when BF. Rommel is a winner over 7f at Lingfield as second in a similar event last time at Chelmsford notably O Murphy is aboard.

Selection Saeiqa  (4/6) Next Best Quintillus  (10/3)

18.45 Class 5 Novice Stakes 2 Yr  Old  7f 

Noble Dynasty was sold for 3.6Mgns and on debut ran second of 10 at Newmarket when 5/2F looked sure to improve on that run.  Athers ran well OK on debut but failed to reproduce next time out in a Class 3 event at York. Rifleman is another that needs to be forgiven a poor debut especially as J Gosden trains.

Selection Noble Dynasty (5/4) Next Best Rifleman (4/1)

19.15 Class 4 Handicap  3 Yr Old +   7f 

Areehaa trained by Sir M Stoute runs in her second handicap having been second at Newmarket on Heavy no rise in handicap mark for that effort, Sir Michael does well with his second handicap starters. Sir Michael also runs Clinician and could well have the 1,2 after a decent win at Wolves (up 5lbs for that). Dancing Feet was favourite at Wolves and ran 7th behind Clinician slowly away that day and notably Hollie Doyle is back aboard. Dancing Feet has winning course form too.  Serenading from the J Fanshawe yard (who has a great record here) is on a roll winning two races at Newcastle looks on the improve and cannot be ignored here however is up 10lbs.

Selection Dancing Feet (6/1) Next Best Clinician (9/2)

19.45 Class 5 Handicap 3 Yr Old+   6f  

Brenner Pass heads the weights after some decent efforts over the last few months, now up a further 8lbs but does retain the services of F Marsh who needs one more winner to lose his claim. Also of interest is Jonny Reb who looked like the winner last time until Kodiellen just got up on the line.  However the selection is Invincible Larne who ran well on the unfavoured Chelmsford rail interestingly C Fallon now takes over from long standing jockey P Cosgrave.  

Selection Invincible Larne (8/1)  Next Best Brenner Pass  (7/2)

20.15 Class 6 Handicap 3 Yr Old +  6f 

The 9th race on the card and as with any Class 6 event here a tricky puzzle. Secret Treaties looks a good thing, recent winner and likely pace angle but there is a snag, she has never won over 6f 0/4 with a placed effort here in early October (50/1) up 4lbs for latest win. Top weight Bold Decision could be an alternative and has two good runs here over 6 and 7 furlongs. Bottom weight Mercers is another that more often runs at Lingfield but does have a good record at Kempton 2/10 2 placed efforts now down to a winning mark 47 today (won off 51).

Selection Mercers (12/1)  Next Best Bold Decision (8/1)

Kempton Park 18th September 2020

Quite a few winners on Wednesday scattered about the selections and the Next Bests however the SPs weren’t great. Nine races again today so if you are having an interest hopefully some of the below will assist you. Good luck !  

Kempton 18/09/2020Value PriceSPPosition
4.00 Sky Storm2.6254.24-1
4.35Blue Dawn64.33-1
5.10 Light Make Up3.7555-1
5.40 Johnny Reb4.34.52-1
6.10 Chloellie54.54-1
6.40Moving Light1.61.3610.36
7.15Seaport8219-1
7.45Fraser Island 54.53-1
8.15Run After Genesis1193-1
-7.64
4.00 Recall The Show 2.752.87511.875
4.35Island Warrior139.518.5
5.10 Bagara656-1
5.40 Performance Poet5810-1
6.10 Cape Greco6.57.52-1
6.40Fiesta De Vega2.24.32-1
7.15Gentleman At Arms17105-1
7.45Dream With Me5.565-1
8.15Takeonefortheteam75.54-1
3.375

16.00  Class 5 Novice Stakes 3 Yr Old +  6f

There are two obvious starting points here Recall The Show and Sky Storm who finished 2nd and 3rd  in the same race on the AW at Lingfield. There’s ½ length between them on the last run but Sky Storm is less exposed and has her third run today, was off a 307 day lay off last time. E Walker has a good record with second starters he runs Amniarix. C Banham does well with new starters often at big prices she has Kit’s Allanah. Finally T Ward does well with horses off a break Valentine Blue is his runner.     

Selection Sky Storm (13/8) Next Best Recall The Show (7/4)

16.35  Class 5 Novice Stakes 3 Yr Old +  6f

Second division and at first glance Sweet Joanna looks the likely selection. R Fahey has a poor record at Kempton (4% over the last 5 years) so it may pay to look elsewhere. E Walker has another second time starter Blue Dawn and has L Morris down to ride (17% for TJ Combo) she ran ok at Lingfield on debut and showed some promise. Daleelaty runs for O Burrows who does well at Kempton (17% for the last 5 years but another who’s yard is only running at 7% SR at the moment. H Main has her yard in good form 21% over the last two weeks and runs Island Warrior first time after a wind op and now wearing a tongue tie reasonable place record for horses off a 60 day + lay off.

 Selection Blue Dawn (5/1) Next Best:  Island Warrior (12/1)

17.10 Class 6 Nursery Handicap 2 Yr Old  7f   

As with Wednesday’s nursery, previous winners are thin on the ground. None on the runners have been placed at Kempton but Bagara (Drawn 1), Full Marks (5) Alpine Spring (6) and Daphne May (11) have placed over 7f. Preference is for those drawn low. Those with handicap form that appeal are Bagara beaten fav at Sandown, Host badly drawn over 5f at Sandown last time and Sayifyouwill drops in class for second handicap run. Trainers with decent FTH records are: Full Marks (Sir M Prescott); Light Make Up (M Botti) and Dark Alibi (J Osborne).  Light Make Up  appeals most now upped in trip and rated 62 with a TJ combo of 15%. Bagara  from stall 1 also looks of interest stable going well although TJ combo not great.

Selection Light Make Up (11/4)  Next Best Bagara   (5/1)

17.40 Class 5 Handicap 3 Yr  Old +  7f 

Low numbers win 10%, mid 8% and low 5%, so  worth concentrating on those drawn lower, even better is that Johnny Reb drawn 3 likes to make the pace, decent record at Kempton  1 win and 2 placed efforts from 4 runs back over 7f after last times 6f run. Expect plenty of support for Sir M Stoute’s Anna of Lorraine who ran well here over a mile bouncing back after poor handicap debut at Haydock, Louis Stewart rides and is 14% for the stable (he is 9% overall). The other of interest is Performance Point‘s stable in good heart and do well at KP. 27% for last month and 21% for the last year. 15% overall. Ran well when fancied here on her handicap bow only up a pound for that, drawn in 6 of 13.

Selection Johnny Reb (10/3) Next Best Performance Point  (4/1)

18.10 Class 5 Handicap 3 Yr  Old +  7f 

While we have pointed out that those lower drawn have the better chance Chloellie in stall 11 could run well of the 14 runs at Kempton she has been drawn in double figures twice and both times managed to place at 9/1 and 5/1. Won last time at Sandown (only win on turf) and up 4lbs,  has won off 68 in Jan 2019. 66 today.  Cape Greco run  style may suit this race from stall 4 and George Rook has a decent combo for G Kellaway (17%).  Well fancied last time with 7lb claimer aboard at Southwell.  Has run here just the once when 3rd over 8f. Won at Lingfield, Wolves and Southwell off marks of 55, 59 and 64. Runs off 65 today.

Selection Chloellie (4/1) Next Best Cape Greco  (11/2)

18.40 Class 5  Nov Stakes  3 Yr  Old +   1m 4f  

Just 6 runners in this with two last time winners, Fiesta De Vega and Moving Light, with the other 4 not having a great deal of form or potential to their names.  Moving Light looked very good winning at Leicester although the time of the race was not great and as we know S B Suroor does very well here 31% over the last year, 21% over the last 5m years.

Selection Moving Light (4/6) Next Best Fiesta De Vega  (6/5)

19.15 Class 4 Handicap 3 Yr  Old +  2m  

As with many 2 mile events here quite a few hurdlers can be seen in the field. Seaport (watch those bets there’s a Seaborn in the field)  has a reasonable record at Kempton placed on both starts off marks of 87 and 71.  Runs off 72 today.  The other that has potential is H Dunlop’s  Gentleman At Arms  runs in his third ever handicap after running OK at Leicester last time, two decent runs on the AW in maidens before that made debut at Kempton, goes from 12f on last start to 16f today.

Selection Seaport (7/1) Next Best Gentleman At Arms (16/1)

19.45 Class 5 Handicap 3 Yr  Old +  1m 3f  

Lots of question marks about these, N Henderson has a good record here (25% over the last 5 years) is in good heart 3/7 in last 14 and 7/21 in the last 30 days. Also does well with horses off a 60 + day layoff 24%.  He runs Fraser Island who ran for Mark Johnston winning off 77 and was 3rd on only AW start. Dream With Me is with Mark Johnston another with a good record at KP. Beaten favourite at Pontefract last time so must be showing something 4th run in an handicap.  Also keep an eye on Wimpole Hall jockey Gaia Boni is very capable and although not given many rides has a great record 4/18 22% over the last year and is 4/14 28% for W Jarvis.

Selection Fraser Island (4/1)  Next Best Dream With Me  (9/2)

20.15 Class 6 Handicap 3 Yr  Old +  1m   

The 9th race on the card and as with any Class 6 event here a tricky puzzle. Having said that Run After Genesis appeals on a number of fronts, has run round here twice one win and one placed effort and back to a mark of 63 (won off 60 and placed off 65). Stable going well 2/5 in the last 14 days, drops in class today, didn’t have the best of runs last time either (tonight second run off a layoff). Has a reasonable TJ Combom, jockey 3/23 in the last year 13%  (8% overall SR).  On the downside he is drawn 11.  Takeonefortheteam is the other to highlight runs well here 3/7 all over CD. Ran well here on latest start won here in June off 63 today 65.  

Selection Run After Genesis (10/1)  Next Best Takeonefortheteam (6/1)

Kempton Park 15th September 2020

Really missing going racing, good to see the show being kept on the road. Tonight is not one of Kempton’s greatest cards but there is something for everyone here. If you are having an interest hopefully some of the below will assist you. Good luck !

Kempton
Selection 
15/09/2020Value PriceSPPosition
3.55 Florence Street3.54.23-1
4.30 Spirit Of Rowden4NR
5.05Thunderstone3.543-1
5.40 Winnetka5.554-1
6.10Lover’s Moon2.37522-1
6.40Myservice32.2511.25
7.10Flying Standard5553-1
7.40Deftera Lad11NR
8.10Rochford4.5NR

Next Best
-3.75
3.55 Lovely Breeze4.52.87511.875
4.30 Voodoo Whodoo17NR
5.05Twentysharesofgrey87.57-1
5.40 Driving Force51.8310.83
6.10Habit Rouge62.7511.75
6.40Brown Honey56.55-1
7.10Calm Down72.62511.625
7.40Limaro Prospect3.52.254-1
8.10Musee D’Orsay1365-1
2.08

15.55  Class 5 Maiden Fillies Stakes 2 Yr Old   7f

Plenty of unraced entries here with some of the top yards with decent Kempton records bringing some horses with potential. Those with form that look of interest are Joy Choi (decent speed rating at Sandown last time). Lovely Breeze who ran well at Salisbury (race working out ok) and should be much readier today, All in The Game another that showed promise on Chepstow debut and Florence Street who despite being 15 lengths off the winner recorded a decent TS and RPR. Of those unraced the trainers with good records currently, at the track and for debutants include Prothoe  (Charlton) along with Kingdom Found (Fanshawe).   

Selection Florence Street (5/2) Next Best Lovely Breeze (7/2)

16.30 Class 6 Nursery Handicap 2 Yr Old  7f  

Fourteen maidens go to post ! and few have been placed consequently it  looks a tricky puzzle to solve. Mia Mia and Spirit of Rowdon have been placed over this distance. A couple of trainers have decent FTH (first time handicap) records but their stables are not running well (Osborne and Scott) so will pass on these. Spirit of Rowdon ran OK and showed some form at Lingfield last time up 2lbs for that. The other that looks of interest despite a wide draw is Voodoo Whodoo who should run prominently (fancied on handicap debut) interesting that Thore Hammer Hansen who is 2/3 for the yard has the ride.

Selection Spirit Of Rowdon (3/1) Next Best: Voodoo Whodoo (16/1)

17.05  Class 6 Nursery Handicap 2 Yr Old  1m   

We have a winner amongst these ! Devil’s Cub won a Bath nursery finishing a close up second at Chepstow next time.  Twentysharesofgrey ran behind the impressive Breckland here and made up a lot of ground to grab second, second again here on his last start. Luke Morris takes over from Hollie Doyle. The Crisfords do well with FTH and they run Thunderstone who has only had two runs (well beaten on both starts over 7f) similarly a good FTH record for Ed Dunlop who has Harrier Hawk and showed some potential on latest start at Chelmsford. M Appleby also gets his horses ready for handicap debuts (Swinton Noon)

Selection Thunderstone (5/2)  Next Best Twentysharesofgrey  (7/1)

17.40 Class 5 Auction Maiden 3-5 Yr  Old  1m 

Winnetka drops back to maiden company after 6 runs in handicaps, has been placed here on two occasions (three runs here) has a mark of 72 and may well be good enough here. The danger is W Haggas’ Pretty Pickle who ran wide at Wolves and may not have liked the soft ground at Chepstow she has been a short price for all four of her runs and expected to be fav here. Haggas does well with runners coming off a short break (< 7 days). Two others to consider are from stables do well with horses off a break of >60 days.    Driving Force (BF on debut) (J Tate) and Witch Hunt (D Menusier).   

Selection Winnetka (9/2) Next Best Driving Force  (4/1)

18.10 Class 5 Auction Maiden 3-5 Yr  Old  1m 

Lover’s Moon has an RPR of 84 substantially more than anything else here, hard to see the two debutants being of that quality either. Trainer in good form over the last 14 and 30 days too. The danger could well be Habit Rouge from the M Botti yard he has S Cherchi who claims 5 in the saddle and they do well when combined (34%), he rides this track well 23% over the last year.

Selection Lover’s Moon (11/8) Next Best Habit Rouge (5/1)

18.40 Class 5  Handicap  3 Yr  Old +   1m 4f  

Myseven makes her handicap debut tonight and should run well for the in form Crisfords, who do well here and have a great record debuting in handicaps. The handicapper has assessed Myseven on the basis of the second in the Lingfield race giving her a mark of 75. Brown Honey is the other that caught the eye having been placed here in October 2019, beaten favourite last time on soft going.

Selection Myseven (2/1) Next Best Brown Honey (4/1)

19.10 Class 6 Handicap 3 Yr  Old  1m 4f

Chris Wall is another who’s stable is in fine form and his runners often go off at respectable odds. He runs Flying Standard who won a Classified Stakes at Chelmsford last time and runs off 51 today on handicap debut 27% SR for FTH over the last year, he also does well with last time winners.  Ralph Becketts runner Calm Down looks reasonably well weighted after a couple of handicap runs. RB is not quite the force he was at Kempton with only a 9% SR over the last year (16% overall).  

Selection Flying Standard (4/1) Next Best Calm Down (6/1)

19.40 Class 6 Handicap 3 Yr  Old +  7f  

Deftera Lad ran on the 13th September and finished well after a slow start at Wolves over 7f. He comes out quickly with an inexperienced 7lb claimer aboard (0/7). Twice placed here (5 runs). Trainer goes well with fast returners (14%).  Limaro Prospect will be fancied to win again after a decent run here, trainer Sir M Prescott does well with last time out winners (40%)  and with fast returners 31%. Stable form for the last month is 6% against a usual 16%.  

Selection Deftera Lad (10/1)  Next Best Limaro Prospect (5/2)

20.10 Class 6 Handicap 3 Yr  Old +  7f  

Rochford won last time at Yarmouth has had one run when placed here, trainer does well with LTO winners (26%) Also of interest is Musee D’Orsay who is a CD winner although still 6lbs higher than when last winning here. Mr Shelby joins the C Banham yard one to keep an eye on in the betting.

Selection Rochford (7/2)  Next Best Musee D’Orsay (12/1)

Kempton Park 18th August 2020

Plenty of variety on tonight’s card and for once not full of Class 6 handicaps – hopefully a winner or two amongst these, good luck to those having an interest.

Kempton 18/08/2020Value PriceSPPosition
16.25Guru 21.44 f5-1
17.00 Declaring Love2.753.512-1
17.30 Monza City45.53-1
18.00Nigel Nott593-1
18.30 Renaissance Rose 21.22 f10.22
19.00Swinley Forest 75.59-1
19.30 Mutalehef2.53 f4-1
20.00 Bullfinch35.514.5
20.30September Power54.312-1
-2.28
16.25Qasid 5157-1
17.00 Hot Touch71911-1
17.30 Atalis Bay4.52.375 f11.375
18.00Its A Given3.2557-1
18.30 Saramenha 583-1
19.00Maurimo9NR0
19.30 Endured95.514.5
20.00 Mumtaaz3.53.56-1
20.30Machios63 f8-1
-0.125

16.25  Class 5 Novice Stakes 2 Yr Old   7f

Plenty of unraced entries here with some of the top yards bringing some decent looking types, M Stoute’s Qaasid looks of interest, stable going well at the moment and has a good record here (as does jockey J Crowley). They combine well with a 32% SR and almost a level stakes profit.  However the selection is Guru from the J Gosden yard who is 26% here, stable do well with 2nd run starters operating a 31% SR. Interesting jockey booking with A Kirby. Expect cramped odds for this one, any thing above evens a bonus.

Selection Guru (Evens) Next Best Qaasid (4/1)

17.00  Class 4 Fillies Handicap 3 Yr Old +  7f  

Top weight Deliah Park goes well round here 3 wins and 2 places but was a disappointment last time after winning the time before over CD,up 4 lbs for that win now rated 85 however has never won off this high a mark. Hot Touch has been highly tried ran in a class 3 event last time and has a reasonable draw and pace profile. However the selection is Declaring Love who runs in a handicap for the first time (stable record 28%), three useful runs all at Newmarket where the form appears to be working out from all three races.

Selection Declaring Love (7/4) Next Best: Hot Touch (6/1)

17.30  Class 4 Handicap 2 Yr Old  6f  

Just the 4 runners here, three first time in a nursery with Monza City running in her third. Was ¾ length third last time and caught the eye when running on from a wide draw at Leicester last time. Cox and Botti both do well in these type of events , preference for the NB spot is Botti’s Atalsis Bay who appears to have improved on debut (both runs at Windsor).

Selection Monza City (3/1)  Next Best Atalis Bay (7/2)

18.00 Class 4 Handicap 3 Yr  Old +  6f  

Nigel Nott is of interest here, likely pace setter with W Buick aboard and drawn in 3 too. Form looks OK running solely on the AW.  Its A Given runs in her second handicap from the R Charlton yard beaten 3 lengths on handicap debut (backed in to Evs Fav) at Windsor but won both previous starts at Chelmsford and over CD  on penultimate start.

Selection Nigel Nott (5/1) Next Best Its A Given  (9/4)

18.30 Class 5 Nov Fillies Stakes 2 Yr  Old   1m

Five go to post and with another likely winner for W Buick on Renaissance Rose for C Appleby who’s only run at Ascot looks of promise recording a decent time too. R Beckett has a good record for 1st time starters (13%) and will make that the next best.   

Selection Renaissance Rose (Ev) Next Best Saramenha (4/1)

19.00 Class 4  Handicap  3 Yr  Old   1m

Swinley Forest and Maurimo are the two that  all look like potential winners, having good course and distance form. Maurimo is a first time handicapper from R Charlton’s team and has won a maiden over CD. Assuming she’s better on the AW this should suit. Swinley Forest is the selection and could be yet another for the in form W Buick. Two runs here have resulted in first and a second although has 7 lbs more than at the last visit.

Selection Swinley Forest (6/1) Next Best Maurimo (8/1)

19.30 Class 5 Nov Stakes  3 Yr  Old +  1m

Mutalahef looks of interest here after a decent effort at Lingfield drawn wide but should be able to get to the front, J Crowley knows his way around this track that’s for sure. Endured gets the next best selection disappointed after decent debut at Kempton assuming that he prefers the polytrack this one could go well at a decent enough price.

Selection Mutalahef (6/4) Next Best Endured (8/1)

20.00 Class 5 Nov Stakes  3 Yr  Old +  1m

The way Bullfinch won here last time would indicate that he can once again dictate from the front (not quite as well drawn this time). Trainer has a good record here and a profit for Jockey Trainer combo, trainer has good stats for runners coming of a 60+ Day layoff. Also of interest is Long Haired Lover J Fanshawe does well here but surprisingly O Murphy is just 1/13 for J Fanshawe. Mumtaaz r is another that should be considered J Crowley and J Gosden combine for a huge 43% SR showing a profit on win and place bets.

Selection Bullfinch (2/1)  Next Best Mumtaaz (5/2)

20.30 Class 5 Handicap 3 Yr Old + 1m 4f

Most of the older horses do not appeal whereas some of the 3 yr olds have been running well. Bottom weight September Power and Machios both won last time at Lingfield. September Power comes from the powerful R Varian stable and has the assistance of S De Souza. A Balding  trains the other and uses D Probert. Trainer does well with quick returners.

Selection September Power (4/1)  Next Best Machios (5/1)

Kempton 15/7/20 5.10

5.10  Kempton 0-75 Class 4 Handicap 4 Yr +  6f   10 run

Pace bias Led strongly favoured and advantage to Prominent

Led: Lordsbridge Boy

Prominent: Private Matter, The Right Choice , Mr  Buttons

Draw

Low Numbers favoured (Stalls 1 -4 ) Private Matter, Lordsbridge Boy, Inaam, Vegas Boy

Vegas Boy

Joined Gay Kellaway from Jamie Osborne after July 19. 2 runs this year both OK, reasonably fancied last time in V1. Small field at Newmarket (Class 4) and looked well beaten after showing some promise on stable debut at Chelmsford. Has won 3 times on  the AW off 58, 71 and 81, today runs off 75. 5 runs here 3 times placed.  Trainer 1/22 in last month but 1/10 in last 14 days. Interesting jockey booking 1/7 for Marquand/ Kelleway. 

Inaam

Beaten 3 ¼  lengths on seasonal debut over CD ran on in dying stages to grab 5th.  Won at Wolves on previous run in November off 67, today races off 73. 7 wins have all come on the AW has won off 79 in 2017.  Poor record at KP 0/6 with no placed efforts either. Trainer 1/10  (14/1 winner at Windsor)  in the last month. Kirby keeps the ride 2/15 in the last year for J Butler.

Private Matter  

Three runs since lockdown, 2 AW starts were OK, one at KP led till the 1 f pole but then faded into 4th (just ahead of Inaam) but latest run was a poor show on the turf at Haydock. Overall (2/29 turf 1/11 AW) AW win was at Southwell off 69. (Today 73). Two 4th places here.  Trainer in good form at present 3/19 over 14 days and 6/35 over the last 30. Jockey Jack Mitchell also in good heart 10/26 in last 2 weeks.   3/16 for Amy Murphy.

Griggy

Three AW runs in June reasonably fancied in all three, horse is generally held up and comes with a late burst, has hung a little in 2 of the last three runs. Last win was at Chelmsford off 65, one placed effort here off 70 when drawn 3.  Trainer 1/9 for last month but has a good record here 4/16 over the last 5 years.  Same ownership at Inaam.   

Turn To Rock

Well beaten last on seasonal debut at Doncaster (first ever turf run, first run for Jedd O’Keefe). Prior to this won at Kempton for Ed Walker,  showed a nice turn of foot in B1 when dropping back to 6f. Ran off  67 then, runs off 70 here. Not blinkered today. Trainer in reasonable form 6/49 for the last month showing a profit. Jack Garrity has a good record for trainer 10/79 again showing a decent profit.

Sepahi

Four runs since the resumption and won first two here and at Wolverhampton, decent effort then here but a poor run early in July at Chelmsford (trapped wide with no cover).  Didn’t have enough speed to catch the winner here in June but wasn’t hard ridden once 2nd had been achieved beat Mr Buttons. Win at Wolves was off 64 and here off 59. Runs off 70 today. Overall here 1/4 with best efforts most recently (last 5 outings were for S Keightley).  Trainer 1/23 in the last month (winner tonight at Ripon). David Probert 2/4 for trainer and rode this horse for last rides.

Mr Buttons

Just the one run this year in June when 4 length 4th  in a similar event here. Was well positioned and then last lead in closing stages. Just the one win at Southwell in a novice event when trained by Richard Fahey. Now down to lowest mark (69) after being given 77.  Trainer has only had 3 runs this month no wins so far.

The Right Choice

Well beaten favourite at Yarmouth (7f) last time (1/17 on turf) over the winter ran some good races at Southwell and Newcastle being placed on all 4 runs. However runs off 68 here (rated 58 on turf). Slow surfaces may suit. Only one run here when trained by Richard Fahey in 2018.  Trainer in excellent form 2/5 in last 14 days  also does well here 3/11 over last 5 years. Hector Crouch is going well too 6/23 in last 14 days comes up in class.

Sea Fox

Three poor runs since the resumption and not much to cheer prior to that, won in 2019 off 75 and 76 both at Wolves has won here off 85. 7lb claimer now employed (1/4 for trainer). Trainer running OK.

Lordsbridge Boy

Made season debut at Windsor ¾ length 3rd having been close up until 50 yds out, well clear of 4th, before that ran well at Kempton and won here in October off 62 runs off 64 tonight, made all that night so this has the pace angle from stall 2.

 Summary

My value odds in brackets

Lordsbridge Boy looks a solid proposition (7/2) also of interest are Turn To Rock (8) Sepahi  (10) Private Matter (12)The Right Choice (20)

Actual odds

Lordsbridge Boy 4

Turn To Rock 9

Sepahi 14

Private Matter 17/2

The Right Choice 9

Result

  1. Sephahi 15/2
  2. Turn To Rock 22/1
  3. Lordsbridge Boy 3/1 F
  4. The Right Choice
  5. Vegas Boy
  6. Private Matter

    Straight Forecast 157.90 Tricast 617.92

Kempton Park 1st July 2020

A poor effort last week so have stuck with a few more obvious ones tonight. I think it could be a good night for John Gosden, we shall see. Good Luck to you all.

16.40  Class 5 Novice Stakes 2 Yr Old  7f

A 7f 2 yr old event, three of these have raced previously, Sarsaparilla for John Gosden disappointed here when 5/2 never really got into the race after being slow away. Basilicata is the other with form 2nd at Goodwood run for Mark Johnston with William Buick aboard. Of those unraced the SBS Gold Wing and Ralph Beckett’s Iconic Queen are of interest

Selection: Basilicata (2.5) Next Best: Iconic Queen (6.0)

17.10  Class 5 Handicap 3 Yr Old  6f

There’s a quartet here with last time winning form.  Gigi’s Beach however has also been in good form and won here early on in the month off 58 (now off 67). This longer straight may help him. Of the last time winners Tommy Rock looked impressive at Wolverhampton Adam Kirby rides for Clive Cox who has a decent record here and for second time handicap starters.  

Selection: Tommy Rock (4) Next Best: Gigi’s Beach  (7.0)

17.40  Class 5   Novice Stakes 3 Yr Old +  1m 4f   

La Dragontea ran 80/1 4th in the Lingfield Oaks Trial on that form she looks good enough to win this here. Katara ran OK at Yarmouth but Delta Royalty has winning form here and for that reason is the next best.  As always any John Gosden runner here needs to go into the equation keep an eye on Tao Te Chin in the market.  

Selection:   La Dragontea (3.5) Next Best: Delta Royalty  (4.3)

18.10 Class 5 Maiden Fillies Stakes 4  Yr Old + 7f

John Gosden has kept Red Centre in training after finishing lame at Newcastle in November2018 and with a 30% SR for horses off a 60+ day layoff some market movement would be of interest. Hey Gracie has joined the Beckett yard (from Mark Usher), winning on stable debut here. This looks the one to be with here. 

Selection  Hey Gracie (4.0)  Next Best  Red Centre (7.5)

18.45 Class 5 Novice Stakes 3  Yr Old + 1m 4f

Coltrane is the one that immediately catches the eye here second to Almighwar here and producing a decent speed figure.  There will plenty of interest in Strawberry Rock who won nicely on debut when well fancied, this event looks stronger and preference is for the one with course form. James Doyle 2/6 with John Gosden over the last year.

Selection Coltrane (3.0) Next Best Strawberry Rock (3.5)

19.15 Class3  Handicap 4Yr Old +   1m 4f   

Good Tidings unseated his rider last time after 5f, he has some useful Kempton form last year and now returning here could spark a bit of a revival.   Space Walk comes down in class to a Class 3 while he has no Kempton form he has run at Chelmsford (second of six) in August. Jockey Tom Marquand 20% for William Haggas.  

Selection Good Tidings (5.5)  Space Walk  (11)  

19.45 Class 4 Handicap 4 Yr Old  +  1m    

There are 5 that appear on my short list, front runner King’s Highway could do if from the front even from a wide draw. Beaten favourite Dargel was in good heart last season, first time off a wind operation. River Dawn ran OK at Pontefract but never settled. This leaves Jack D’Or who appears in good heart and has the bonus of Oisin Murphy aboard. However preference is for Merchant Of Venice who has a good record at Kempton another eye catching jockey booking Fanshawe / Marquand  are 28% over the last year.

Selection Merchant Of Venice (12) Jack D’Or (4.0)

20.15 Class 4 Handicap 4 Yr Old +  2m

True Destiny ticks a lot of boxes in this event with form over course, distance going etc etc, he has been in good form finishing closeup in his last 6 events. Trainer in good heart trainer and jockey ride 20% winners. Expectation is that Blame It On Sally will come on for the run especially if can get a clear passage as there are only 6 runners.   

 Selection True Destiny (4.5) Blame It On Sally (6.0)

20.45 Class 5 Handicap 4 Yr Old  + 6f

Just two here that are of interest Marvel who has finished second on his last 6 starts, interesting to see that Andrea Atzeni takes the ride for the first time his firm handling should make the difference here. However the selection is Global Hope for Gay Kellaway and Oisin Murphy horse ran well on reappearance and despite this mark should get in front of Marvel once again !  

Selection Global Hope (6) Marvel (11)

Kempton Park 24th June 2020

More action at Kempton Tuesday evening – 26 races in four days!!  Plenty of winners in the blog for Sunday shame more were not marked as the selection if you had backed all 18 of the selections and next bests you would have shown a profit.

16.55  Class 5 Fillies Novice Stakes 2 Yr Old   6f

Of the 8 on show here only one Paige’s Raptor has raced previously didn’t show anything at Yarmouth and doesn’t enter calculations. The one that does is Glesga Gal a 120,000 Euro foal drawn 1 and trained by Hugo Palmer who has a 15% strike record (1.18 A/E) Of the others Roger Varian’s Authentic Symphony should go well. It will be interested to see what the market makes of Sir Michael Stoute’s Ville De Grace. 

Selection: Glesga Gal (2.25) Next Best: Authentic Symphony (3.0)

17.25  Class 5 Novice Stakes 2 Yr Old  6f

With just 4 runners this will be win only for those taking on the placepot. Three of the 4 have raced just the once, Zaisan is trained by Archie Watson and has a 26% SR (1.1 A/E) for horses having their second start and must feature in any placepot permutation. If pushed for a second pick Roger Varian’s Haseef should improve after an ordinary debut, good to see Jim Crowley aboard.

Selection: Zaisan (1.8) Next Best: Haseef (3.0)

17.55  Class 5 Handicap 4 Yr Old +  6f  

Sepahi and Englishman have won their last two, Magicinthemaking also won 2 of his last three, wasn’t fancied last time on reappearance. Sepahi’s trainer does well with LTO winners 11/29, won here on the 3rd June and followed up at Wolves up 6lbs for that win, however not sure there is sufficient pace in the race for him. Englishman comes back to Kempton (1/2) and only has a 4lb rise. Mr Buttons makes his seasonal debut Linda Stubbs doesn’t have too many runners at Kempton those that do come here generally do OK.  

Selection:   Englishman (3.5) Next Best: Mr Buttons  (10)

18.25 Class 5 Maiden Fillies Stakes 4  Yr Old + 7f

Saeed Bin Suroor has a 20% SR for 3 Yr Old Fillies at Kempton you won’t get rich backing them but his Dubai Quality is the likeliest winner and will almost certainly be odds on as he was 4/9 F on debut at Wolves recording a decent enough time behind Ivan Furtado’s Noble Dawn. As the main danger Hugo Palmer’s Combine should show more after a debut on Yarmouth’s heavy turf. Ryan Moore a plus.    

Selection  Dubai Quality (1.66)  Next Best  Combine (3.0)

18.55 Class 5 Maiden Fillies Stakes 4  Yr Old + 7f

Nothing that has previously run has shown a great deal of form or recording any decent times. For that reason it may be worth looking at John Gosden’s debutant  Aureum (15% SR for 2 Yr Old at Kempton) or Ralph Beckett’s Sun Tide 14% SR (and shows a profit 1.05 A/E).  

Selection Aureum (3.0) Next Sun Tide (7.0)

19.25 Class  Handicap 4Yr Old +   1m  

River Dawn was a big drifter near the off for his seasonal debut at Pontefract, now back on the AW this looks more suitable. Atletico has finished less than 2 lengths off the lead for his last 6 races doesn’t win too often (3/57) but his consistency is admirable, today he comes up in grade and has  a great chance of getting some more place money here.  

Selection River Dawn (6.0)  Atletico (11)

19.55 Class 5 Handicap 4 Yr Old  +  1m 3f   

Plenty with question marks against their name here. Confils has only 1 AW run and is 0/0 here. Craneur ran poorly at the end of the season and trainer is 1/17 so far this season however Jim Crowley is aboard. Sea Tide (Mrs Mongan) is another with trainer doubts (0/9). The two that get the vote are Crimson King who ran very poorly last time, perhaps he needed the run. The other is Amanda Perret’s Double Legend who is back to his favourite track (2/10) after a poor run at Lingfield earlier this month. It will be interesting to see the betting market on this event !

Selection Desert Legend (9.0) Crimson King (5.5)

20.25 Class 6 Handicap 4 Yr Old +  1m 4f

Five on the short list Sociologist has never raced at Kempton and Barry McHugh makes a rare visit should be the pace angle here.  Dyagilev beaten favourite the last two occasions placed here 3/5 starts another that tends to race up front. Herm never picked up at Lingfield, placed on only start here, trainer is in good form. Hammy End often finishes second or third just the one win from 13 doesn’t appear to want to get his head in front. Muraaqeb is trained by Milton Bradley who has had a winner from 10 starts so far looks of interest and make that the selection.

 Selection Muraaqeb  (9.0) Dyagilev (6.0)

20.55 Class 6 Handicap 3 Yr Old  1m 4f

Just two here that are of interest Camouflaged won well here with Adam Kirby , he got a bump at Lingfield next time and never settled after that clearly in good heart and has to be in the mix at the close. Anno Lucis was 2/4 lengths behind Camouflaged when making handicap debut, Sir Mark is well known for his handicap debutants, however it is worth noting his second time in a handicap runners he shows a 26% win rate with an A/E of 1 and an IV of 2.6

Selection Anno Lucis (4) Camouflaged (4.3)

Kempton Park 21st June 2020

Kempton 21/06/2020Value PriceSPPosition
1.25Enduring2.253.5 f12.5
1.55Baby Shower2.3752.53-1
2.25Feel Good Factor4.34.313.3
2.55The Game Of Life42.252-1
3.25Queen Gamarah684-1
3.55Dramatic Sands457-1
4.25Tamaris3.56.54-1
4.55Emirates Knight472-1
5.30Casa Comingo4.34.56-1
-1.2
1.25Shine The Light33.53-1
1.55Gallardise 2.52.3754-1
2.25Annie Quickstep 55.58-1
2.55Treble Clef886-1
3.25Desert Peace4.3413
3.55Cognac64.213.2
4.25Almighwar42.37511.375
4.55City Tour10177-1
5.30Vibrance53 f 12
4.575

Here is my look at Sunday’s card. Dramatic Sands is the one that rates the NAP.  Really missing the action at the track, TV viewing is not for me….

13.25  Class 5 Maiden Stakes 2 Yr Old   6f

Only those who have already raced make any appeal here.  Enduring finished  5 ¼ lengths behind The Lir Jet at Yarmouth that should be good enough to win this although Richard Hughes’ Shine The Light has the potential after a decent run at Wolverhampton. Interestingly Willie Muir (Mitrosonfire) has a very poor record of horses having their second start 0/24.   

Selection: Enduring (2.25) Next Best: Shine The Light (3.0)

13.55  Class 5 Maiden Fillies Stakes 2 Yr Old  7f

With just 6 runners this appears to be between last time second Baby Sham who’s trainer does very well with horses running with less than 7 day break and Archie Watson’s debutant Gallardise.  Alpine Springs doesn’t appeal as the stable is off the boil at the moment (2/43) since the resumption.  

Selection: Baby Sham (2.375) Next Best: Gallardise (2.5)

14.25  Class 6 Handicap 3 Yr Old  7f  

Four of these go onto the short list, topweight Feel Good Factor ran well in a Class 5 event here didn’t find a lot in the closing stages but stayed on well for second,  5lb claimer now aboard. Le Reveur runs for Sir Mark Prescott shown absolutely nothing in three runs but makes his handicap debut keep and eye on the betting ! Annie Quickstep comes back to a mile after running this month wasn’t beaten far, Rob Hornby back in the plate. The final to look at is Cool To Be A Cat was 4/1 on handicap debut after showing very little in the qualifying races was well beaten over 10f and comes back in trip today, notably Cieran Fallon rides

Selection:   Feel Good Factor (4.3) Next Best: Annie Quickstep (5.0)

14.55 Class 6 Handicap 4  Yr Old + 7f

Another 7f event two of these are last time winners who both have inside draws, In The Red won when heavily backed (had been last on his previous 9 starts) trainer stated that the improved (?) form was due to a return to Kempton where the horse is 3/9 with 2 placed efforts. The Game Of Life won at Chelmsford earlier this month stayed on well, pieces remain on. Treble Clef is one of two for Lee Carter he is making his second run in a handicap should be there or there abouts.

Selection  The Game Of Life (4.0)  Next Best  Treble Clef (8.0)

15.25 Class 4 Handicap 3Yr Old   1m  

A very competitive event, Desert Peace runs in a handicap for the first time, he won here on debut and the Charlie Appleby is 25% for handicap debutants. Queen Gamrah is another that looks of interest especially with Jim Crowley in the saddle he is 4/16 for Mark Johnston, his run at Haydock doesn’t look that good but this horse appears to prefer the AW and has won over CD.  

Selection Queen Gamrah (6.0) Next Desert Peace (4.3)

15.55 Class 4 Handicap 3Yr Old   1m  

Division II doesn’t look any easier, however there appears to be more pace in this race one of which Dramatic Sands looks to have a good chance especially as Hollie Doyle is once again in the saddle. He won here in a handicap off 80 and now races of 83. Another that shows pace from the gate is Cognac William Buick rides this for Mark Johnston and makes his handicap debut, no AW form but some good runs so far.    

Selection Dramatic Sands (4.0)  Cognac (6.0)

16.25 Class 5 Novice Stakes 3 Yr Old   1m 4f   

Twelve maidens in this novice event, John Gosden has Almighwar didn’t show much on debut in a Newmarket maiden late last year but stable and jockey (Jim Crowley) are in great form. One with slightly better form is Tamaris Roger Charlton does well here and this looks the type to improve on his initial run here. Charlton is 17% for second starters. Keep an eye on Ralph Beckett’s debutant Pagaille his record with debutants is 15% just fractionally lower than his overall SR (good A/E and IV values too !!)

Selection Tamaris (3.5) Almighwar (4)

16.55 Class 3 Handicap 4 Yr Old +  1m 4f

Palavechino will be short order here after a decent win here 9 days ago, he won in February and is on a roll. However he comes up in class and may be worth opposing if very short in the betting. The two that also have some good chance is Emirates Knight who drops in class after a close up 4th over 11f here back in November. The other to consider is City Tour has run really well here so can easily ignore last run at Lingfield.

 Selection Emirates Knight (4) City Tour (10)

17.30 Class 4 Handicap 4 Yr Old +  2m

Vibrance was a disappointing favourite last time coming home third at 2/5 ! Has a good record here but will need to bounce back from that performance. Casa Comigo has plenty going for him who also goes well here and ran last time on turf, this looks much more his type of race.  

Selection Casa Comigo (4.3) Vibrance (5)