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Hi everyone

Welcome to the  Kempton Park Nut !

KP Nut for short is the blog site for a host of tips, news and events at one of the UKs top horse racing tracks. Kempton Park.

My name is Colin Hord and I’ve been watching and betting on horse racing for over 30 years . I’ve been going to Kempton Park regularly since it became an All Weather track. I enjoy AW racing  and I hope by reading this you will share my enthusiasm for the racing there.

The next meeting is not for a few weeks so check back soon for a few selections and then a review of the racing I am sure there will be a few that caught my eye.

Good luck with your betting in the meantime.

Colin

 

First blog post

Kempton Park 10th October 2018

So here we are my last set of selections for the Daily Star under the editorship of  Patrick Weaver wishing him well in his retirement.

Tonight 8 races lets see if we can provide him  a suitable send off……

Kempton 10/10/18
Selection
5.40 Buffalo River 1 11/10 F 1.1
6.10 Sovereign Grant 1 15/8 F 1.875
6.40 Casper The Cub 1 15/8 1.875
7.10 La Maquina 7 8/1 -1
7.40 Dragon Mountain 10 16/1 -1
8.10 Cenotaph 2 5/6 F -1
8.40 Chica De La Noche 3 5/1 -1
9.10 Elector 3 6/1 -1
-0.15
Next Best
5.40 Golden Valour 4 9/2 -1
6.10 Ever Changing 6 5/1 -1
6.40 Silver Crescent 5 7/4 F -1
7.10 Redgrave 6 3/1 F -1
7.40 Brexitmeansbrexit 4 14/1 -1
8.10 Gulliver 6 10/1 -1
8.40 Duke Cosimo 1 11/4 F 2.75
9.10 War Glory 5 4/1 -1
-4.25

 

 

5.40 Novice Stakes and Buffalo River ran well here back in August but got turned over at short odds when going down to James Tate’s Name The Wind. That appeared a decent effort and will hope that will be good enough tonight. The other to appeal is Appleby’s Golden Valour the last run can be ignored as the horse jumped the path at Yarmouth.

Selection Buffalo River Next Best Golden Valour

 

6.10 Plenty more debutants here however I am going with two with some form Sovereign Grant has run OK and Sir Michael Stoute likes to bring his horses on more slowly owned by the Queen and unlikely to be present ! Ever Changing is one from the Gosden yard who doesn’t look the best but could well pick up a small race like this.

Selection Sovereign Grant Next Best Ever Changing

 

6.40 Very ordinary race and not one to get to excited about, Casper The Cub ran better than the  odds suggested last time so hoping that improvement can continue. Silver Crescent has been disappointing but this is a weak race that could well surprise after quite a few runs.

Selection Casper The Cub Next Best Silver Crescent

 

7.10 A few to concentrate on here, but the profile of La Maquina is one that interests me most. Only beaten 3/4 length last time and now has William Buick aboard, lightly raced too. The other is Redgrave ran well here in September but never found a change of gear at Chester, hoping return to the AW will suit.

Selection La Maquina Next Best Redgrave

7.40 A few last time winners here and will go with Dragon Mountain who has run really well here on the last two occasions and won. Brexitmeansbrexit is the other that is in good form although Richard Hannon is not.

Selection Dragon Mountain Next Best Brexitmeansbrexit

8.10  7 runner conditions race and quite a few decent types contest the field. Cenotaph has been in tremendous form and looks likely to pick this up as well. The other that appeals is Gulliver who is from the Hugo Palmer yard ran well here in 2017 and if can repeat that will go close.

Selection Cenotaph Next Best Gulliver

8.40 Competitive sprint, where I side with Chica De La Noche beaten fav here recently, failed to make all this looks a similar event and should go close. Duke Of Cosimo goes well here and is the next best.

Chica De La Noches Next Best Duke Cosimo

9.10 Decent race to close with for a change and Sir Michael Stoute’s Elector is the one that I side with after being well backed last time here. Hopefully can make amends tonight. The consistent War Glory is also one that is very consistent.

Selection Elector Next Best War Glory

 

Kempton Park 27th September 2018

Not a bad effort on Monday with a 4/1 winner and the next best won when Yorbelucky was a NR. Collusus bet went down on the first leg thanks to a very disappointing 4/7 Fav !

Another 8 races looks a long night… it was yawn !

Kempton 27/9/18
Patrick Weaver
5.40 First Thought 5 11/10 F -1
6.15 Mark Of Approval 6 10/11 F -1
6.45 Kings Highway 1 11/8 1.375
7.15 Buffalo River 2 2/9 F -1
7.45 San Donato 1 4/9 F 0.4444444
8.15 Giving Glances 5 4/1 -1
8.45 Autumn War 4 13/2 -1
9.15 Fantasy Justifier NR
-3.180556
StarTip
5.40 Swan Street 7 8/1 -1
6.15 Ring Dancer 2 6/1 -1
6.45 Kings Highway 1 11/8 1.375
7.15 Buffalo River 2 2/9 F -1
7.45 Lady Madison 4 3/1 -1
8.15 Tiffin Top 9 7/2 -1
8.45 Breath Caught 1 4/1 -1
9.15 Athassel 5 11/2 -1
-5.625

 

 

5.40 A tricky nursery to kick off with plenty of runners having their first run in handicap, Willie Haggas looks to have one that has been underestimated by the handicapper with First Thought who ran well  here last time to win by 6 lengths.  The other is Swan Street who ran two reasonable races at Chelmsford (didn’t show much on turf at Chepstow or Salisbury)

Selection First Thought (5) Next Best Swan Street (12.5)

6.15 Mark Of Approval stands out on form and on my tissue I make this an even money shot so expect long odds on. Won easily at Southwell and recorded a decent RPR. I cant get excited about Willie Haggas’ Yajooll who has ran out of gas at Pontefract in the finish. I make Ring Dancer the danger with a promising run on the AW at Newcastle

Selection Mark Of Approval (Ev)  Next Best Ring Dancer (8)

6.45 Division II of the novice stakes and a few more here with chances Saeed Bin Suroor has Rossa Ryan aboard Stealth Fighter who won at Beverley on debut goes up 1/2 furlong which should suit.  However for me the pick is Kings Highway who ran a decent race over course and distance in August.

Selection Kings Highway Next Best Stealth Fighter

7.15  Yet another novice event and this one has an almost certainty with Buffalo River from the Gosden yard who ran two good races and recorded good figures can’t really see much else so no next best here.

Selection Buffalo River (Ev)

7.45 More Novice action, Andre Atzeni won three times on Monday and he can have a winner here with San Donato for his boss Roger Varian. Looked useful at Haydock last time when winning with a decent TS. Lady Madison also won last time and this looks pretty useful form too especially when considering it was her first run.

Selection San Donato  Next Best Lady Madison

8.15 Giving Glances was favourite to make it 3 on the spin at Goodwood but was beaten 8 lengths into second the ground was soft that day and hope that back on the AW a better run is seen as he won at Lingfield. Gosden has another with one a good chance this one Tiffin Top who ran well last time over CD last time.

Selection Giving Glances  (3.8)  Next Best Tiffin Top (7.7)

8.45 Only the 5 runners but a real head scratcher as all have a chance, I note that Elector has come off a break following wind surgery.  Autumn War beat Tiffin Top and if we see that one go well in the 8.15 get on ! As the next best I am going to give Breath Caught another chance who has some decent RPRs.

Selection  Autumn War (4.0)  Next Best Breath Caught (2.8)

9.15 Most punters will have probably be on their way home by now but those stalwarts this is a classic class 6 Kempton  event – 12 runners over 6f. However only 2 have any decent form and these are Fantasy Justifier and Athassel will go with the former as prefer the jockey.

Selection Fantasy Justifier (3.7) Athassel (4.5)

 

 

 

 

 

Kempton Park 24th September 2018

Racing this week at Kempton on Monday afternoon and Thursday evening. A bumper 8 race card on Monday so here goes with my selections – fortunately not too many handicaps. Now using decimal odds for the tissue.

 

Kempton 24/9/18
Selection
2.10 Finch Hatton 3 4/7F -1
2.40 Alnadir 4 11/10 F -1
3.10 Yorbelucky NR
3.40 Intricate 3 9/4 -1
4.10 Mary Somerville 2 11/4 JF -1
4.40 Reputation 5 8/1 -1
5.10 King Of Nepal 1 4/1 4
5.40 Global Spirit 4 6/1 -1
-2
Next Best
2.10 Sylvia’s Mother 2 9/2 -1
2.40 War Eagle 7 9/4 -1
3.10 Dragon Mountain 1 4/1 4
3.40 Pytilla 2 6/1 -1
4.10 Wing Defence 10 22/1 -1
4.40 Polybius 1 13/8 F 1.625
5.10 Mazyoun 3 3/1 -1
5.40 Directory 3 11/2 -1
-0.375

 

2.10   6 runner Nov Auction Stakes.  Finch Hatton was a beaten fav on debut and showed good promise there. Sylvia’s Mother has been running in handicaps and won a nursery at Chelmsford.

Sylvia’s Mother   4

Finch Hatton 2.5

Bridlemere Court 33

Invincibella  8

Skating Away 10

Starchant  10

 

Selection Finch Hatton (2.5)  Next Best Sylvia’s Mother (4)

2.40 A 2 yr novice stakes here, and two are worthy of note, Gosden’s War Eagle was an expensive flop when going down odds on (4/6F) at Epsom last time, Ryan Moore stays aboard. However Alnadir from the Crisford yard ran with promise at York and put up some decent figures after being hampered a furlong out.

Selection Alnadir (3.3)  Next Best War Eagle  (2.8)

Alnadir 3.3

Black Abbey 33

Fearless Warrior  8

Just Hubert    33

Lee Roy  33

Mind The Crack 12

Royal Dancer    33

War Eagle  2.8

Image Of The Moon 100

 

3.10 The bottom 4 are the ones to concentrate on here and I have picked out AW debutant Yorbelucky who is  lightly raced and showed some good promise at Ffos Las, notable jockey booking of Andrea Atzeni. Dragon Mountain won well in August and should run well here again.

Selection Yorbelucky  (7)  Next Best Dragon Mountain (5)

In The Red 25

Argus  25

Flaming Marvel 16

Inaam  50

Blame Culture 12

Janabiya  12

Autumn Leaves 14

Caspar The Cub  12

Makambe  8

Yorbelucky 7

Dragon Mountain 5

Appointment Only  5

3.40  John Gosden runs a £340K debutant Kempton he’s not afraid of bringing his better horses here and will put that up, there are two others with reasonable form Pytilla who ran well here over CD and Alexa Rose preference is for the Hughes / Kelly horse with CD experience.

Selection Intricate (2.5)  Next Best Pytilla (6.6)

Alexa Rose  6.6

Apron Strings 100

Bovaglie  10

Intricate 2.5

London Pride 50

Miss Firecracker 20

Navadir  12

Pytilla 6.6

Ramatuelle  50

Trelinney  100

Ventura Island  50

4.10 Johnny G could well have a double on the card as he has another expensive debutant running for Princess Haya Mary Somerville looks the one to be with. Andrew Balding has Wing Defence who ran well last time at Salisbury is going up in trip. Sir Michael Stoute’s Gold At Midnight is also worth considering now back to 7f again.

Selection Mary Somerville (5.5)  Next Best Wing Defence (4)

Abanica  10

Black Medick 20

Gold At Midnight  8

Mary Somerville 5.5

Parish Poet 10

Poet’s Magic  20

Shadow Force  20

Thebah  20

Wing Defence 4

Wish  12

Zaula  50

 

 

4.40 A decent 9 runner sprint over 6f with plenty of possibles. The one for me is Reputation who drops into a Class 3 after a decent run at Chester. Polybius hasn’t won for ages but is 1/1 here so hoping the good last run at Yarmouth can be repeated.

Selection Reputation (4.3) Next Best Polybius (8.3)

Reputation 4.3

Watchable 20

Polybius 8.3

Zain Hana  6.2

The Daley Express 20

Helvetian  8.3

Airshow 7.6

Pearl Spectre 10

Natural  8

 

5.10 King Of Nepal’s record here reads 2 wins 4 runs with 2 placed efforts. Andrea Atzeni is aboard and that for me makes this a good bet. Mazyoun ran well here last time in an apprentice race after a few poor runs if he can show that form again he will be not far away.

Selection King Of Nepal  (5) Next Best Mazyoun (5.5)

Mazyoun  5.5

Pedestal  66

King Of Nepal  5

Madeleine Bond 20

Quargent 25

Radio Source  5.5

Thechildren’strust 10

Zalshah  5.5

The Eagle’s Nest 20

5.40 Typical Kempton event with 14 runners in a Class 5 mile handicap, plenty with a chance, Global Spirit is the one I have selected, Ed Dunlop is not a trainer that I often pick but on this occasion he has been in good form on last two runs with good topspeed ratings horse is still a maiden and takes on a mile for the first time. Directory is the next best goes well around here (1/3 2 placed) two good runs around here recently.

Selection Global Spirit (7)  Next Best Directory (11)

 

Kendergarten Kop  11

Nawar  11

Taurean  9

Directory  11

Duke Of Alba 11

Appenzeller  7.6

Kismat  100

Zamandas  8

Ensign Ewart 11

Grace’s Secret  11

Global Spirit  7

Sebastiano Ricci  100

Catapult 100

Itsupforgrabsnow 100

 

Kempton Park 12th September 2018

Here’s to a better night this week, 7 races to look through. Working abroad this week and a hotel has a dodgy wifi connection. Fingers crossed !!! Sorry no time for tissues this week.

Good Luck

Kempton 12/9/18
Selection
5.45 Tigerwolf 2 6/1 -1
6.15 Smart Illusion 3 15/8 F -1
6.45 Coverham 1 7/2 3.5
7.15 Quicksand 1 5/6 F 0.8333333
7.45 Highland Sky 4 7/1 -1
8.15 Morning Skye 6 5/2F -1
8.45 Oskemen 3 13/2 -1
Next Best -0.666667
StarTip
5.45  Aguerooo 6 6/1 -1
6.15  Riverwing 5 10/1 -1
6.45  Burren View Lady 4 13/2 -1
7.15 Wohileh 2 9/4 -1 FC
7.45 Twister 3 2/1 -1
8.15 Lexington Empire 3 3/1 -1
8.45 Grace’s Secret 4 6/1 -1
-7

 

 

 

5.45

Classified claiming stakes, the one that ran well in a similar event last time was Tigerwolf looks OK at the weights here too, has been in reasonable form and noted that was hampered early on last time. As an alternative look for Aguerooo who comes back to 6f and won similar event in May at Chelmsford.

Selection Tigerwolf Next Best Aguerooo

6.15

Selection Smart Illusion Next Best Riverway

 

6.45

Selection Coverham Next Best Burren View Lady

 

7.15

Novice Stakes and really only two that stand out for me, Quicksand ran well at Newbury in April and is clear on RPR ratings while Wohileh is the other after 2 seconds at Salisbury and Windsor.

Selection Quicksand Next Best Wohileh

7.45

Just the 5 go to post in a 2m Class 4 event. Astromachia and Highland Sky go against one another again, for me with the weight advantage I will go for Highlanad Sky to get in front this time. Sir Mark Prescott runs Twister who won well last time and is the model of consistency  – a real danger here.

Selection Highland Sky Next Best Twister

 

8.15

There are 3 last time winners in this event, and these are the ones for me to concentrate on as they have some good ratings to go with these performances. Lexington Empire is a possible following a really good win at Chelmsford, now has to go up in class and in trip but has a good speed rating. Morning Skye on the other hand has  class form and distance form so will make that the pick following the win at Lingfield.

Selection Morning Skye Next Best Lexington Empire

8.45

Good luck to those who stay for this event, a tricky one to end the night with. Few horses in form although bottom weight Mime Dancer was beaten a neck at Southwell and could be considered however few horses do well when next running at Kempton. I am going to pick two from trainers in form with Oskemen and Grace’s Secret. Oskemen was a disappointing fav last time here after running well the two previous occasions. Ed Walker’s charge is harder to fancy on form but has dropped down the weights and now in a class 6.

Selection Oskemen Next Best Grace’s Secret

 

 

 

 

Kempton Park 4th September 2018

We are back again and 7 races, here’s my view on the races  highlighting a couple in each race.  Tissue prices in brackets for my selections and also listed.

Tough night at the office.

Kempton 4/9/18
Selection
5.45  Amazing Fox 8 3/1 -1
6.15  Maid Of Spirit 4 4/5 F -1
6.45  Happy Escape 4 12/1 -1
7.15  Golden Iris 2 8/1 -1
7.45  Percy’s Word 2 7/4 -1
8.15  Maakaasib 6 9/4 -1
8.45  Boscastle NR
-6
Next Best
5.45 Rajman 9 5/1 -1
6.15 Crash Helmet 2 11/4 -1
6.45 Gunmaker 5 5/1 -1
7.15 Exeat 5 2/1 -1
7.45 Sky Eagle 5 13/8 F -1
8.15 Robero 5 8/1 -1
8.45 Lyford 2 5/1 -1
-7

 

5.45

Two have useful form in Nurseries  Amazing Fox looks the one here from the Beckett yard, Murphy rides again the other is Rajman although Tom Clover the  trainer has not had a winner recently and doesn’t do that well at Kempton, keep an eye on Chitra if fancied.

Selection Amazing Fox  (2/1)     Next Best Rajman (3/1)

 

Devils Roc  12/1
Thegreyvtrain 16/1
Gregorian Girl  12/1
Princess Florence  33/1
Windy Guest  10/1
Chitra  100/30
Amazing Fox 4/1
Valley Belle 33/1
Rajman 4/1
Eye Of The Water  12/1

 

6.15

Maid of Spirit won nicely on debut for Cox and Crouch at Windsor they team up again and this looks in their grasp again. The other is Crash Helmet  who ran well on debut at Wolves now has Silvestre De Sousa aboard.

Selection Maid Of Spirit (6/4) Next Best Crash Helmet (3/1)

6.45

Happy Escape has been in good form of late and Tony Carroll looks to have one on a decent mark ran who ran well here the time before last. A case can be made for Irish raider Gunmaker who has won on the AW at Dundalk.

Selection Happy Escape (4/1) Next Gunmaker (5/1)

Happy Escape 4/1
Dark Side Dream 8/1
Saryshagann 20/1
Glorious Poet 11/1
Noble Star 11/1
Air Of York 10/1
Sir Ottoman 20/1
Plant Pot Power 20/1
Gunmaker 6/1
Luna Bear 11/1
Weloof 20/1

7.15

Very open race and plenty with chances, Golden Iris was beaten a short head last time at Windsor only up 1lb for that decent TS rating there too. One of the others is Exeat Andrew Balding is in good form and this looks another possible winner after running well here on handicap debut. Others to look for are Warmheated (ignore last run in Apprentice race) and Goodwood Showman

Selection Golden Iris (4/1) Next Best Exeat (8/1)

Golden Iris 4/1
Warmhearted 9/1
Brigand 9/1
Demons And Wizards 9/1
Sharg  33/1
Equidae  12/1
Exeat 8/1
Goodwood Showman  12/1
Early Dawn 16/1
Antagonist 33/1
Sarstedt  12/1
Zamandas 16/1
Allegiant 100/1
Towelrads Boy 100/1

 

7.45

A decent event and again plenty of contenders another top weight selected with Percy’s Word.  Simon Crisford is in good form and horse is 2/3 here and the other time placed, SDS is back aboard. Sky Eagle has some good form over shorter and provided gets this trip will go well for Ed Walker

Percy’s Word 5/1
Arab Moon 11/2
Velvet Revolution  7/1
Alfredo 12/1
Sky Eagle 11/2
Gavlar 13/2
Age Of Wisdom  20/1
Continuum 33/1

 

8.15

Just the 6 go to post here and Maakaasib is 2/3 here and could go well again running in another Class 4 event (last few have been Class 2) . Crisford teams up with Oisin Murphy. Robero is another possible but needs to run better than of late but blinkers may help.

Selection Maakaasib  (2/1)  Next Best Robero (3/1)

Maakaasib 3/1
Kasbah  5/1
Robero 4/1
Our Lord 10/1
Giant’s Treasure 8/1
Fivetwoeight 12/1

8.45

Typical Class 6 finale not a lot of form and not one to keep even the avid Kempton regulars making an early move, however one will win and I would look closely at Boscastle, ran well at Chelmsford and just beaten a nose plenty of support so has some ability. The other to look at is Lyford not a great deal of form but some useful speed ratings hasn’t run particularly well here in the past but not many have !

Selection Boscastle (4/1) Next Best Lyford (8/1)

 

Murhib  33/1
Epsom Secret  14/1
Calvinist 33/1
Jamhoori 50/1
Allofmelovesallofu 10/1
Howardian Hills 14/1
Mrs Burbidge  8/1
Sigrid Nansen  14/1
Gee Sixty Six  20/1
Anna Jammeela 100/1
Boscastle 5/1
Lyford 9/1
Arlecchino’s Arc 10/1
Miss Paris 20/1

 

 

 

 

Kempton Park 28th August 2018

The Blog is back ! here we go again for the Winter Season and looking forward to supplying you a few winners.  Am going to try and provide some tissue prices this winter too, thanks to the @helpfulpunter  for helping crystallise some ideas on this.  I can’t promise them every week however.

 

Results Update

Kempton 29/8/18
Selection
5.55  Gold At Midnight 4 4/1 -1
6.25  Croque Monsieur 2 2/1 -1
6.55  Maaaward 1 8/13 F 0.62
7.25  Jedhi 1 10/11 F 0.9
7.55  Atticus Boy 2 7/4 F -1
8.25  African Jazz 1 1/2 F 0.5
8.55  Chloellie 1 9/2 F 4.5
Profit / Loss 3.52
Next Best
5.55 Sweet Pearl 1 7/2 3.5
6.25 King’s Slipper 1 7/1 7
6.55  Dayking 2 9/4 -1.00 FC
7.25  Penny Poet 2 7/2 -1 FC
7.55  Come On Come On 4 4/1 -1
8.25  Zilaria 2 7/2 -1 FC
8.55  Faithful Promise 3 10/1 -1
Profit /Loss 5.5

5.55

2 Year Novice race, for me a two horse race and just make Gold At Midnight my preference on the basis of a decent run at Leicester, Hannon teams up with Oisin Murphy and they run Sweet Pearl and this has a decent RPR too. Innocent from the Beckett yard could go well if fancied.

Selection Gold At Midnight  4th  4/1  Next Best Sweet Pearl 1st 7/2 F

 

Albanita NR
Eucalyptus  15/1
Falathaat 11/1
Fleursals 11/1
Gold At Midnight 15/8
Groor 33/1
Innocent 16/1
Lola’s Theme 11/1
Sweet Pearl 15/8
Wild Fruit 100/1

6.25

A typical competitive mile qualifying handicap, Croque Monsieur from the Haggas yard is the one to look at having won a Chelmsford Class 5 handicap very easily, even with a 11lb hike this should still win again. Whitehall should run well as is pretty consistent but I am going with the Cox/ Kirby contender – King’s Slipper as the next best who will appreciate a bigger field and a decent pace.

Selection Croque Monsieur  2nd 2/1 F   Next Best King’s Slipper  1st 7/1

Bombastic 12/1
Blame Culture  12/1
Whitehall 7/1
Croque Monsieur  4/1
Christopher Wood 12/1
King’s Slipper 7/1
U S S Missouri 25/1
Quality Seeker  15/1
Bobby Biscuit 12/1
Climb Aboard 10/1
Running Cloud  14/1
Sharg 12/1
Nelson River 50/1
French Kiss 50/1

6.55

Novice Stakes and again two look clear on form, both with a similar profile a second and then a win. Preference is for Maaward who won easily here earlier in the month.  The other is the Saeed  Bin Suroor Dayking who won well but less impressively at Catterick, Jason Watson (3) gets the ride.

Selection Maaward  1st 8/13 F  Next Best Dayking 2nd 9/4

Dayking 100/30
Maaward 5/2
Awalii  12/1
Deliverance  16/1
Duke Of Alba 16/1
Ensign Ewart  20/1
Jabarout 33/1
Qallaab 10/1
Roodeparis 33/1
Sir Magnum 20/1

7.25

Fillies over a 1m4f in a tricky 12 runer class 5 event. 3 previous winners Genuine Approval, Midnight Mood don’t quite look they will repeat but Penny Poet with Spencer back aboard is worth an interest.   However the selection here is Jedhi who was beaten a short head here over this distance on handicap debut recorded a good speed rating too.

Selection Jedhi   1st 10/11 F Next Best Penny Poet  2nd 7/2

Cheerfilly 10/1
Mod 10/1
Penny Poet  6/1
Jedhi  11/2
Show Of Force 15/1
Love To Breeze 15/1
Genuine Approval 6/1
Midnight Mood 10/1
Bird For Life  20/1
Alacritas 33/1
The Bear Can Fly 50/1
Sister Celine 7/1

7.55

Come On Come On won well here in March and has been running OK on turf since then but never winning, cheekpieces last time are replaced with the visor, for that reason Atticus Boy looks a good bet as was just touch off  over CD when going for a 4 timer, the winner Magellan looks a promising improver and would not be surprised if Atticus Boy wins again.

Selection Atticus Boy 2nd 7/4  Next Best Come On Come On 4th 4/1

Come On Come On 4/1
Know Your Limit  9/1
Grapevine  12/1
Thunder Speed  13/2
Atticus Boy  3/1
Red Orator 20/1
Paddy The Chef 9/1
Dragon Mountain 10/1

 

8.25

4 runner 3yr old 2mile race, not one to get overly excited about and I make African Jazz a strong favourite, Charlie Appleby is in fine form and William Buick is making the trip for the ride. Hasn’t shown a great deal but this looks better form than anything else here. I give Zilara a squeak and Las Lomas Blanca is interesting if fancied (making debut after running in France).

Selection African Jazz  1st 1/2 F Next Best Zilara 2nd 7/2

African Jazz  6/4
Zilara 100/30
Sassie 4/1
Las Lomas Blanca 5/1

 

8.55

Typical Class 6 event at Kempton with plenty of possibles but few with any decent form, the two for me are Chloellie who runs well here (2/4) and won last time has yet to follow up a win with another but David Probert is back aboard.  Going with Silvestre De Sousa’s  mount – Faithfull Promise – as the next best he replaces a 3lb apprentice and hopefully get the horse away to a decent break., if he does can expect a good run.

Selection Chloellie   Next Best Faithfull Promise

Flora Tristan 12/1
Wicked Sea 11/1
Indian Warrior 12/1
Faithful Promise  7/1
Nampara  10/1
Penwood 14/1
Spot Lite 14/1
Lady Marigold  14/1
Chloellie 6/1
Queen Of Dreams  20/1
Dolydaydream 15/1
Free Talkin 10/1

 

 

Kempton Park 13th June 2018

Forecast looks like we will have some fair  weather at Kempton Park tonight so hoping for a decent crowd.  7 races tonight although the last doesn’t look great…

 

6.10

A tricky apprentice handicap which doesn’t look that strong, the top two are probably quite obvious on form especially with reasonably experienced jockeys. However Jim Boyle has Muthraab Aldaar who has some pretty reasonable AW form (figures of 2 3 3 6 0 4 W 5 2 since Jan 17,  and is back to reasonable winning mark, Isobel Francis is a bit of an unknown however.  The other I am looking at is the Johnston horse Ravenhoe ran well in an Amateur event last time although well beaten in second, again another inexperienced jockey.

Selection Muthraab Aldaar Next Best Ravenhoe

6.40

Gay Kelleway has two here with chances, Billy Booth is the one that I like the most and looks to have a progressive record with two wins on the AW at Wolves, this looks a little tougher but should be there or thereabouts. The other Kellaway runner is Capla Demon hasn’t shown much to date but this handicap debutant could spring a surprise with cheek pieces now being used.

Selection Billy Booth Next Best Capla Demon

 

7.10

This doesn’t look a great Novice race with only a few look that interesting Gosden’s Hinde Street is one to keep in the tracker as this looks promising, although the lack of pace at Thirsk could have been a factor last time. Adam Kirby rides Moving Forward for Saeed Bin Suroor and that will help as he has a good record for this trainer.

Selection Hinde Street Next Best Moving Forward

 

 

7.40

Middle Distance race for 3 yr olds and a few useful looking ones here in an open race. Simon Dow and Adam Kirby team up here with El Borracho, AK has yet to win for Simon Dow this year but he was 4/8 in 2017. The horse travelled well into contention and is one of the few who has tried this trip before. The other  I favour is Berkshire Spirit who has been consistent of late for Andrew Balding. He comes down to a class 5 event tonight after running in two class 4s. Jason Watson takes off a useful 5lb too.  I could aslo make a case for Atticus Boy who ran well on handicap debut and shows some promise.

Selection El Borracho Next Best Berkshire Spirit

 

8.10

Fillies Handicap and only 7 go to post the obvious one and the one I am going with is last time winner Krystallite who pretty much hacked up last time at Wolves (finished second there the time before).  Has a 6lb penalty today. The other to look at is Nightingale Valley Kirby rides for Stuart Kittow and ran a decent race last time at Chepstow on seasonal reappearance that looked a warm up so watch the betting !

Selection  Krystallite Next Best  Nightingale Valley

8.40

I have been waiting for Glory of Paris to run over 7f at Kempton since Feb ! Here he is and is drawn 11 of 14.  The outside boxes have a shocking win record so a no bet for me.  Recent winner Treacherous is in great form but I quite like Portledge who ran well at Newcastle and then did well on turf at Goodwood (has never won on turf) so back on the AW looks interesting. Ubla came home behind Treacherous and needs a fast pace with a big field this should be on and can use the weight received from the likely fav to good effect.

Selection Portledge Next Best Ubla

 

9.10

A race that is unlikely to keep the crowd here with a poor 2m class 6 event where Heron is likely to be a very short price favourite and not one to rely on, a good second last time a Salisbury and ran well here before that however the trip is not guaranteed as 0/2 at this distance. The one that could be interesting is Crindle Carr who has looked OK over this trip at Kempton in the winter, could be worth and E/W shout.

Selection Heron Next Best Heron